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For as well as the New York Mets (20-12 SU, +8.65 Units) have played at home this season, they have dipped to two-games below .500 on the road. They'll continue their four-game set at Wrigley Field against the Chicago Cubs (16-15 SU, -0.88 Units) on Wednesday night.
PITCHING MATCHUP
There aren't many pitchers in the game who are throwing the baseball much better at the moment than Matt Harvey. He's 5-1 with a 2.72 ERA this season, and about the only knock that we have on him is the fact that he is still being babied a little bit.
Harvey has only been allowed to throw more than 95 pitches once this year, that coming in a game where he had a shot to go the distance against the Yankees.
The righty has arguably been every bit as impressive in his last two starts in which he didn't have his great power fastball as he was at the start of the year when he struck out at least seven in his first four outings.
Harvey still isn't pitching to contact, and his ground out to fly out rate is well over 3 to 1 in that stretch. Furthermore, the righty has needed an average of just over 13 pitches per inning to finish his last three starts combined.
Simply put, Harvey just keeps putting up zeroes, and when he gets into a groove, he is really tough to hit. Just know that that first zero he gets might be the start of something big for live betting purposes.
However, do be aware that Jason Hammel can throw some donuts up on the board as well.
Advanced stats will tell you that Hammel has been a bit unlucky even though he has rock solid numbers with a 3-1 record, a 3.52 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP.
Batted balls put in play are falling to the tune of a .280 average against Hammel this year, and he is stranding just 73.5 percent of his base runners allowed.
By all accounts, those numbers should only improve, which is something to keep in mind in live betting against a Mets outfit which has generally been a lot more clutch this season at home than on the road.
ADVANCED STATS
Part of the reason the Cubs have struggled this year at times is because their defense is very questionable, particularly in the infield. Their defensive rating per advanced stats as a team is -3.4. Their infielders have a -0.8 range against the average team (the Mets are +3.5, to put that in comparison).
All of this is telling in total errors. The Cubs have already committed 27 blunders this season in 31 games, and for the purposes of live betting props, knowing that the "reach on error" could come into play at least once in this game, particularly with all of the balls that Hammel puts into play.
TALKING BULLPENS
The Mets have used their bullpen less than any other team in the bigs this season, which is really surprising considering how many young pitchers they are carrying along in their rotation.
However, an average of just 2.1 innings per game isn't all that bad, all things considered. Harvey has needed just about the average in relation to the rest of the New York pitchers.
Jerry Blevins has yet to allow a base runner this season in his five innings of work, while Erik Goeddel has yet to concede a run.
These aren't the names you would think of coming out of the New York bullpen, but know that just about anyone that Terry Collins calls upon can be trusted in any spot to give you some really good value for live betting purposes.
The MLB odds for this game will be available first at BookMaker Sportsbook. Gamble on the game between every half inning with BookMaker's live betting feature. Along with an adjusted in-game moneyline, you can wager on what will happen in the next at-bat or how many runs will be scored in the next inning. Live betting is the most exciting way to play!
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