With the Cubs stealing most of the headlines through the first six-plus weeks of the season, the Giants will do their best to let the rest of the betting public know they exist as well in what’s shaping up to be an ultra-competitive National League.
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ODDS ANALYSIS
As much chalk oddsmakers have forced the Cubs to eat, it’s impressive to see them reeling in a return on investment of $1078 through 36 games played. The club sits eight-games over .500 at home, but has only made $132 for its wagering supporters in those contests. Losing a couple games at near 2-1 odds here and there eats into profit real quick.
Chicago has however been a solid team to back on the road where it’s tallied wins on 13 of 16 occasions for a $946 overall profit. That record will truly be put to the test through the weekend and at the beginning of next week with another trip to Busch Stadium on tap.
As for the Giants, they currently sit atop the jumbled mess that is the NL West with both the Rockies and Dodgers 1.5-games back. Heading into Tuesday night’s tilt with the Padres, San Fran is the +130 favorite to win the division pennant.
PROBABLE PITCHERS
Manager Joe Maddon’s pitching staff has been exceptional thus far with it ranked No. 1 in ERA, WHIP and quality starts. Jon Lester has been a key cog in the reason why with his 1.88 ERA and 0.97 WHIP through 52.2 total innings of work. He’s fanned 51 and is only being hit to the tune of a .206 batting average against. The Cubs had won each of his last four starts prior to taking his second loss of the season last Sunday against Pittsburgh.
Matt Cain was once one of the premiere pitchers in Major League Baseball. Then he was forced to go under the knife back in 2014 and hasn’t been the same pitcher since. San Francisco has a top heavy starting rotation so it’s able to send Cain out every fifth day even though his 5.87 ERA and .315 BAA makes it incredibly tough to win any of his starts. To date, the Giants stand 2-6 through his trips to the bump.
LIVE BETTING
San Francisco has squared off against its fair share of left-handed pitchers and hit them pretty well evidenced by its .281 batting average and 4.7 runs per game scoring average. That said, Manager Bruce Bochy’s squad has only managed seven wins against them through 15 tries. The over is 9-6 in those contests.
Chicago’s raked right-handed pitching for an average of 5.8 runs per game, but is only batting .267 against them overall. Still, they’ve logged an impressive 19-7 record versus righties with the over cashing at a 16-8-2 clip.
QUICK PICK
Cain might own a 6-4 record and 3.08 ERA through 10 career starts against the Cubs, but most of those stats were accrued earlier in his career when he was on top of his game. In a pair of starts last season, he was peppered for 14 hits, 11 earned runs and sported a 5:7 K/BB ratio failing to go more than five innings in each start.
Lester tossed seven innings of 2 ER ball to log a quality start in his lone appearance against the Giants last season. He’s given up just 4 ER over his last 18.1 innings of work and has been at his best away from Wrigley where he’s 3-0 with a 0.92 ERA and 1.02 WHIP.
Chicago’s held the upper hand in this recent rivalry winning five of the seven meetings a year ago to move to 11-9 overall in the last 20. Cain is nothing more than a BP pitcher these days, and I fully expect Anthony Rizzo and company to once again tee off on him.
MLB Odds: Cubs 9, Giants 3
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