Colorado continues its two city East Coast swing on Thursday, opening up a four game series against the Mets following three in Baltimore.
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ODDS ANALYSIS
As of Monday, the Mets sat seven games over .500 and in the heart of the NL Wildcard race.
New York’s first few months have been up-and-down. After a strong April, the squad ended both May and June under .500. They bounced back lately going 11-8 here in July.
The Mets still have the pieces, particularly in the rotation, to be a dominant team any given day, but the offense is a bit of a question.
The opposite is true for Colorado. The Rockies have been just a few games under .500 every month and are an even 10-10 here in July.
They’re above .500 at home and below on the road.
PROBABLE PITCHERS
There are plenty of question marks for the Mets. The offense was already a question and injuries have depleted it further. Meanwhile, the rotation was supposed to be the one sure thing and a season ending surgery for Matt Harvey along with bone spur issues for both Noah Syndergaard and Steven Matz have caused questions to pop up there as well.
Outside of the ageless Bartolo Colon, the only other sure thing left is Jacob deGrom who is scheduled to take the mound on Thursday.
deGrom is just 6-5 through 17 starts this season, but has pitched to a 2.73 ERA and 1.098 WHIP. He’s been even better at home going 4-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.036 WHIP in nine starts.
The 28-year old right-hander is coming off his worst start of the season, allowing five runs and 10 hits in just three and two-thirds innings to the Marlins, but prior to that, he’d allowed three runs or fewer in all but one of 16 starts and had tossed eight complete games in his last nine appearances.
The only time he faced Colorado this year was back in May, when he did reasonably well in Coors Field, allowing three runs in six and a third.
Pitching opposite of deGrom is the 26-year old southpaw: Tyler Anderson.
Anderson has shown well here in his rookie campaign, going 3-3 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.292 WHIP in 48 innings spread over eight starts.
Considering the lefty’s home park is Coors Field, he’s done well keeping the ball in the park. He’s given up his share of hits, but that’s to be expected. He, however, has forced hitters to earn their way on with a walk to nine innings ratio below two.
Anderson came up on June 12 and has done his part to keep his team in the game each time out. The Rockies have won his last three starts.
Interestingly, Anderson has pitched slightly better at home than on the road, though to be fair. He’s only gotten two road starts. Though, he is 0-2 on the road, but his ERA is 3.86 and his WHIP is 0.857 in 11 2/3 innings.
LIVE BETTING
Offensively based on the raw numbers, we have the best offense in the National League against one of the worst.
Colorado has scored 506 runs in 98 games, tops in the NL and second in baseball only to the stacked Boston lineup. On the flip side, the Mets are only outscoring Philadelphia and Atlanta with 362 runs in 97 games.
Over the last month, things are a lot closer. Here in July, the Mets have scored 82 runs in 19 games while the Rockies have plated just six more in one extra game. In terms of runs per game, these teams are neck and neck.
When you consider the Rockies are on the road, things shift even further. Colorado is averaging just 4.14 runs per game away from Coors while scoring 6.18 runs per game at home.
The Mets at home are scoring 3.85 runs per game, not much below the Rockies’ road average.
For the Rockies, much of the offense stems from the bats of Trevor Story and Nolan Arrenado. Colorado is selling at the deadline, but both those players will be on the team long after the deadline passes. Carlos Gonzalez, however, has been part of numerous trade rumors as he has for the past few years.
QUICK PICK
Anderson has pitched very well in his first taste of the big leagues and has been one of the bright spots in an otherwise weak rotation.
Still, for all he’s done to date, he’s the weaker of the two starters with deGrom having proven himself over the last few years. There’s no doubt that deGrom will bounce back from his last start to put up a number of good innings against a Rockies’ team that’s nothing but average on the road.
Now, Anderson could have success and keep his team in the game against the Mets with their offense built around Yoenis Cespedes and a number of good, but flawed players.
Look for the game to be close through the first five or six innings, but the bullpens help differentiate these teams. Colorado’s pen is second worst in ERA in the NL to Cincinnati at 4.92 while the Mets’ bullpen ERA is nearly two runs lower.
MLB Odds: Mets 6, Rockies 4
Load your betting bankroll from your smartphone with BookMaker’s new cashier feature! Depositing and withdrawing funds from your account has never been easier. BookMaker's live betting platform means you always have access to odds and lines to every sporting event. Click here and start wagering today! First pitch for the game between the Colorado Rockies and New York Mets is scheduled for Thursday, July 28, 2016, at 1:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. The matchup will be televised regionally on SportsNet New York and ROOT Sports Rocky Mountains.
