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BookMaker is the only online sportsbook where you can get the earliest MLB moneylines, runlines, totals and props. If you want to wager on baseball odds like the pros do, you need to join BookMaker today! The ballgame between the Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox will take place Sunday, June 11, 2017, at 8:08 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. The game will be televised live on ESPN.
The Detroit Tigers got back to .500 on Sunday by winning four in a row and immediately lost Tuesday. That’s what the season has been like for a Tigers’ team that’s been unable to sustain any sort of success. They’ll get a chance to close a three-game weekend set against the Boston Red Sox on Sunday in primetime. Boston is surging. The Tigers are still trying to stay afloat.
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ODDS ANALYSIS
The Red Sox have won 11 of their last 15 games as of Wednesday. They now sit seven games above .500 and have return home for the Tigers series. Boston is a much better home team.
The Tigers, on the other hand, are five games under-.500 on the road. They’re offense has scored 16 fewer runs on the road in five fewer games. They’ve also allowed 41 more runs.
While the road offense is a concern, the Tigers’ offense in general is hot. In just four games in June, Detroit has scored 35 runs and collected a league high 101 total bases while hitting .366.
Boston has scored 11 fewer runs in one less game.
PROBABLE PITCHERS
A pair of lefties go head-to-head in this series finale with Daniel Norris looking to get back in the win column for the Tigers and Drew Pomeranz shooting to continue his winning ways and captured his fourth win in as many starts.
Norris has done better on the road than at home, so playing in Fenway may be a blessing although it’s not a traditionally friendly place for a southpaw given the Green Monster out in left.
Overall, Norris has struggled with pitch count. He’s averaging fewer than five innings per start and is just 2-4 with a 4.48 ERA. The free passes have been the biggest challenge for Norris though his 10.1 hits per nine innings is the highest ratio of his career as well, leading to an unflattering 1.575 WHIP.
For Norris, the Sox have always been a huge challenge. He’s faced Boston four times in his career—starting three of those games. Overall, he’s 0-3 with 11 runs and 24 hits allowed in 15 innings.
Pomeranz has been much better against the Tigers in his career. He’s faced them three times—including two starts—and is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and has allowed just eight hits and two walks in 12 innings. Two of those hits were homers.
This year, the Sox are 7-4 with Pomeranz on the mound. He’s pitched very well of late, allowing two runs or fewer in five straight and all but two of his 11 appearances overall.
He’s dropped his ERA down to a solid 4.02, giving him an ERA+ of 111. With a strikeout rate of 11.4, he’s more than able to get the big strikeout with the game on the line.
LIVE BETTING
The Sox can be better trusted later in the game. Craig Kimbrel is nails in the ninth inning and Joe Kelly lights up a radar gun at 104 mph.
Boston’s bullpen ERA is 3.02, good enough for fourth best in baseball. The Tigers’ bullpen ERA is 4.68, better than just a handful of clubs.
The defense, however, favors Detroit—at least in terms of fewer errors committed.
Boston has a pretty good defensive outfield, but has fundamental issues at third. Mitch Moreland is a good defender at first and Xander Bogaerts is very good up the middle, but the former Red Sox, Jose Iglesias is better at short.
Iglesias doesn’t have Bogaerts’ bat, but is a premier defender.
The speed and sure-handedness in the outfield is missing, but Boston has already made six more errors than Detroit and that cannot be ignored.
Nevertheless, the Tigers’ bullpen is—as always—a huge question and the Red Sox’s offense—even with the Tiger’s recent surge—is better top-to-bottom.
QUICK PICK
Look for the Sox to get the win at home in primetime. The Tigers haven’t been a good road team and the Sox are playing their best baseball right now. Their bullpen is lock down, their offense is clicking.
Andrew Benintendi’s power is playing up right now and between him, Mookie Betts, and Hanley Ramirez there is enough pop.
Also, while the Tigers’ have scored a lot in the last few games, but of that came against the White Sox.
MLB Odds: Red Sox 7, Tigers 5
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