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BookMaker is the only online sportsbook where you can get the earliest MLB moneylines, runlines, totals and props. If you want to wager on baseball odds like the pros do, you need to join BookMaker today! The ballgame between the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Indians will take place Sunday, July 9, 2017, at 8:08 p.m. ET at Progressive Field. The game will be televised live on ESPN.
Just when it looked like the Cleveland Indians were going to start to gain some ground in the AL Central, they lose a couple games against the San Diego Padres of all team. The Tribe will return to divisional play this weekend and will wrap up a three-game set on Sunday with a primetime matchup against the Detroit Tigers.
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ODDS ANALYSIS
The Indians took two-of-three from the Tigers in Detroit last weekend, but they’re just 4-5 against their divisional foe this year. That’s a stark difference from last year when the Tribe won 14 of 18 against Detroit.
The Tigers’ offense has helped them play better against Cleveland, but the bullpen is still grants the Indians a huge odds advantage.
Cleveland, obviously, has the best bullpen in the game while the Tigers pen is the worst in the AL and better than only the Mets and Nationals overall. The Indians have a bullpen ERA of 2.83. The Tigers’ pen ERA is 4.97. That’s more than a two-run swing.
For the Tribe, Andrew Miller and, to a lesser extent, Cody Allen get all the love. Allen is 0-4, but he does have 16 saves and a 2.70 ERA. He allows Terry Francona to use Miller in a number of different spots, putting his ace reliever on the hill whenever the game is on the line regardless of inning.
Of course, it’s not just those two making this pen strong. Even with Boone Logan struggling a bit in the LOOGY role, this team still has Bryan Shaw, Nick Goody and Zach McAllister all with sub three ERAs.
PROBABLE PITCHERS
We have a pair of All-Stars taking the hill on Sunday night for this primetime showdown as the Tigers’ Michael Fulmer squares off against the Indians’ Corey Kluber.
Fulmer is carrying this pitching staff through Justin Verlander’s struggles and questions with nearly every other arm. He’s 8-6 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in his 16 starts.
The reigning Rookie of the Year has gone at least eight innings in back-to-back starts and at least seven in three in a row as Brad Ausmus has shown more faith in his young right-hander late than anyone in the Detroit bullpen.
Overall, 14 of Fulmer’s 16 starts have been quality starts, but this will be the first time this year that he faces the Indians.
Cleveland was a team that gave Fulmer fits last year. In four career starts against the Tribe, Fulmer is 1-2 with a 6.98 ERA and 1.966 WHIP in 19.1 innings of work. More than a quarter of the earned runs he allowed last year came against Cleveland against whom he only threw a little over 12-percent of his innings.
As for Kluber, he missed a few starts due to injury this year, but he’s still having a great All-Star campaign. He’s 7-3 with a 2.85 ERA and 0.974 WHIP in 88.1 innings. He’s made 13 starts.
The Klubot led the AL in FIP and ERA+ last year and his numbers so far this year are better in both categories.
The veteran right-hander is coming off back-to-back one-run, eight-inning starts and has allowed just two earned runs in his last 32 innings, spanning just four starts as he’s averaged eight inning a start. Going back even further, he’s 4-1 with a 1.24 ERA in his seven starts since coming off the disabled list at the beginning of June.
Kluber has also struck out at least 10 in six of those seven starts, sitting down 10 or more in five straight starts, increasing his strikeout per nine ration to 11.7 and his strikeout to walk ratio to 5.48.
LIVE BETTING
Jose Ramirez got the nod from the fans as the AL starting third-baseman in the All-Star game. It was a bit of a surprising pick, but not because it wasn’t deserving.
The third baseman is having a monster season. He’s batting .326 with 15 homers and 42 RBIs. He’s posting a team leading .967 OPS and has 27 doubles. He’s been even better over the last month, hitting .386 with eight homers, 15 doubles and three triples, giving him a .781 slugging percentage to go along with a .426 OBP.
Edwin Encarnacion now clicking. He has a .309 average and seven homers in the last 27 games. Lonnie Chisenhall is batting .354 over the last month and Carlos Santana has a .362 OBP in that time. There’s enough going right even with Francisco Lindor and Jason Kipnis slumping to put runs on the board.
Of course, with the Tigers, at the plate is where they can best compete with the Indians.
Detroit has seen much of its team get old really quickly. Victor Martinez and Ian Kinsler are having down years. Miguel Cabrera, too, considering former Triple Crown winner is hitting .266 with 11 homers.
Miggy’s power has kicked up some the last month, hitting six of his 11 bombs in his last 27 games. The rest of the team is, more or less, status quo.
QUICK PICK
The Tribe can match the Tigers in offensive production meanwhile, they hold a huge advantage in the bullpen.
We’re dealing with two all-start starters, so this should be a low scoring game, but Kluber has been absolutely filthy since coming off the DL while Fulmer is at least a bit more hittable.
Bank one of the Indians’ scorching hot batters scratching out a key RBI against Fulmer and the Tribe’s pen able to hold a narrow lead.
MLB Odds: Indians 4, Tigers 2
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