MLB Odds - Houston Astros at New York Yankees Game Preview

2017-MLB-Astros-at-Yankees-Betting-Online

If you’re not wagering with BookMaker Sportsbook then you’re just another square bettor. Shop for MLB lines where the pros do so register for your own betting account at BookMaker now! The ballgame pitting the Houston Astros versus the New York Yankees will commence Sunday, May 14, 2017, at 7:30 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. The contest will be televised nationally on ESPN.

Carlos Beltran is back in the Bronx and back on National Television as he leads his Houston Astros to battle against the New York Yankees on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. These two teams have been two of the better stories in the early going, each overcoming setbacks to be two of the powerhouses in the American League.

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ODDS ANALYSIS

The Astros are a deep team. The worst offensive player so far has a 94 OPS+ which is right around league average.

Marwin Gonzalez is the star of this team so far. He’s playing the Ben Zobrist role and moving all over the field. He’s also leading the team in home runs with nine despite being an in-effect part-time player.

He and Evan Gattis have been incredibly valuable in offering A.J. Hinch the ability to rest players and keep everyone fresh.

The Yankees are also getting quality up and down the lineup other than first base. Greg Bird is now on the DL, but Chris Carter isn’t hitting well either. Aaron Hicks now gets a few more looks in the outfield with Matt Holliday sliding in at first.

PROBABLE PITCHERS

When you look at the names set for this matchup with Masahiro Tanaka and Charlie Morton on the mound, the odds are likely to skew in New York’s favor, especially at Yankee Stadium, but when you delve deeper into the numbers, it’s actually Morton who has had the better season so far.

Yes, Morton is only averaging 5.1 innings per start and, yes, the road hasn’t been friendly as he’s 0-2 away from Minute Maid Park, but overall, Morton is 4-2 with a 3.63 ERA and 3.15 FIP.

He’s not going to go deep into games and he’s not going to dominate, but what he’s proven he can do is keep his team in the game in a hitter friendly ballpark.

Although a 33-year old veteran, Morton also brings with him a degree of anonymity, at least for the Yankees who he’s faced just once in his career. Matt Holliday and Starlin Castro are the only players he’s faced more than nine times in his career. That’s the good news. The rest of the roster will have to adjust. The bad news: Castro is 12-for-27 against him with three home runs. Chase Headley is also 3-for-9 against him with a pair of walks in his career.

As for Tanaka, the Yankees’ ace has an inflated 4.36 ERA and 1.315 WHIP, but he finds himself 5-1 through seven starts anyway.

After a slow start, Tanaka’s been pitching better. He’s thrown four quality starts in his last five outings and has a complete game shutout against Boston mixed in there, too.

He’s won five straight games as well.

Like Morton, however, there is some bad news, too. The 28-year old right-hander has a 6.89 career ERA against Houston in three starts and has allowed five home runs in 15.2 innings. This is a powerful lineup.

Amongst those home run hitters against Tanaka are Carlos Correa, who is 4-for-9 against him with two bombs and five RBIs, and Jose Altuve, who is also 4-for-9 and has a home runs and a double.

LIVE BETTING

It should come as no surprise that it’ll be crucial for both of these teams to get on the board early.

Each team boast a strong offense, obviously, but they each are also amongst the top teams in terms of bullpen ERA with the Yankees sitting at 2.55 and the Astros at 2.93. Given that, it’s reasonable to expect both teams to close the door if they’re able to grab the lead before turning the game over to the pen.

Aroldis Chapman has already surrendered four runs, but he’s still been his normal unhittable self if you look at the strikeout and hit rates. It’s the walk rate that’s a bit inflated, but the FIP is still in line with what you’d expect out of him.

For the Astros, Chris Devenski has been the real surprise. He’s been the Andrew Miller type reliever, going in whenever called upon pitching in tight situations for offering a couple of innings to keep the ‘Stros in the game. He’s 2-2 with a 2.14 ERA in 21 innings, giving up just 10 hits in that time.

QUICK PICK

This is a great matchup. Both teams boast surprisingly strong rotations, great and deep bullpens, and strong offenses.

New York has the better pitcher on the hill, at least based on track record and that gives them the overall nod.

Look for the Yankees to get the win in this one. Their ace is on the hill and they’re at home. That’s almost a guaranteed win for New York given their home record this year.

MLB Odds: Yankees 6, Astros 4

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