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BookMaker is the only online sportsbook where you can get the earliest MLB moneylines, runlines, totals and props. If you want to wager on baseball odds like the pros do, you need to join BookMaker today! The ballgame between the Minnesota Twins and Boston Red Sox will take place Thursday, June 29, 2017, at 7:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. The matchup can be seen live on ESPN.
The Boston Red Sox took two of three from the Minnesota Twins in their first series and will try to lock up this one with a win in the series finale on Thursday. Both teams are vying for the top spot in their respective divisions as this game could be an unlikely playoff preview with the Twins unwilling to go away in the AL Central.
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ODDS ANALYSIS
Boston took three straight series, besting Detroit, Philadelphia and Houston before dropping back-to-back series against Kansas City and Los Angeles over the last week.
The Sox are still 20-13 in their last 33 games as they’ve successfully made a run to the top of the AL East. They’ll now be tasked to stay there.
In this game, at least, they have a nice home field advantage. Boston is 22-13 at Fenway Park. Of course, they’ll have to contend with a pesky road team in the Twins who are a staggering 23-9 on the road.
Something about playing on the road has been comforting for this unlikely contender and they’ve doubled down on that by sweeping their divisional foe, the Cleveland Indians, in Cleveland over the weekend. They outscored the Tribe by 11 runs in that three-game series and are now 5-1 in their last six games.
PROBABLE PITCHERS
The embattled David Price takes the mound on Thursday against the Twins in what will be his seventh start since coming off the DL.
Price has struggled to get back into the groove after his injury. He looked good in his last start, going six innings and allowed just two runs, but he left the game with a cracked finger nail. It seems like the southpaw cannot catch a break.
Perhaps facing the Twins when they send Kyle Gibson to the mound against him will be the break he needs.
Gibson has been bad in his starts for the Twins. He’s 4-5 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.831 WHIP. His FIP is 5.60 indicating that luck isn’t a huge factor. What is, however, is terrible command. He’s walking 4.6 batters per nine innings and has a 1.33 strikeout to walk ratio. The Red Sox are a patient team so this could be a long game for Gibson who will likely labor to make it through five.
Gibson is just two years removed from 11 wins and a 3.84 ERA. Since then, however, his walks, hits allowed and homers allowed have all shot up.
While the right-hander didn’t make it out of the fifth in his last start, tossing 93 pitches in 4.2 innings, he did at least keep Minnesota in the game; a game they ultimately won. He allowed just a single run while in the game despite four hits and four walks.
In his career, Gibson is 1-1 with a 2.61 ERA in three starts against the Sox. He’s allowed one run in 15 innings at Fenway.
Price has also had great success against the Twins in his career, going 9-3 with a 2.43 ERA and he’s 15-5 in his career at Fenway.
The veteran southpaw, however, hasn’t had a great transition into the Red Sox’s uniform. He is 19-11 with Boston, but his 4.09 ERA is nearly a run higher than with any of his other three teams.
He’s struggled this year more than last as he battles back from injury. He’s 2-2 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.353 WHIP. His strikeouts are down and his walks are up.
Price has always been one to allow a high number of hits as he tends to be in the strike zone. The high number of walks show that he’s not back to form. That said, he walked just one in six innings in his last start and has now delivered two quality starts in his last three games.
LIVE BETTING
After a slow start, the Red Sox’s offense is finally in full swing. Jackie Bradley Jr. is having a massive month of June, hitting .346 with four bombs and a .430 OBPS. Andrew Benintendi is well, too, hitting .307 with five homers for the month. Mitch Moreland has hit five in the month, too.
For the Twins, Miguel Sano, Brian Dozier and Eddie Rosario are all showing power right now. Of course, Sano has had a monster season, but Dozier’s turnaround is big for Minnesota’s ability to remain competitive through the summer months.
QUICK PICK
There are concerns around both starting pitchers in this matchup, but Price is without a doubt the better pitcher and, health notwithstanding, he’s showing signs of putting things together.
The Sox also boast the superior bullpen. Their unit has a 3.03 team ERA while the Twins’ pen has a 5.01 ERA, the second worst in the Majors, just ahead of the Tigers.
With a questionable starter and troublesome pen, the Sox offense will carry this game and Boston to victory.
MLB Odds: Red Sox 7, Twins 5
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