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If your favorite baseball team isn't playing tonight, make the games more interesting by betting on MLB odds at BookMaker Sportsbook! This is the only online wagering outlet that offers early MLB moneylines, runlines and totals. First pitch for the game between the New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers is scheduled for Tuesday, June 20, 2017, at 10:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. The contest will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.
With Clayton Kershaw in the rearview mirror, the New York Mets chances for a win open in this second game the four-game series, but the Los Angeles Dodgers still seem to have the pitching advantage on Tuesday. Offense and defense also fall in the court for the hometown team as the Mets’ season long collapse continues.
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ODDS ANALYSIS
The Dodgers are 21-8 since May 17. The Mets, meanwhile, were surging before their series with the Nationals. A good showing against Washington could have gotten them back into the fringes of the NL East race. Instead, the Nats took care of business and New York is back out the conversation in the NL playoff picture.
New York’s confidence was growing before the weekend, now they figure to show up flat for their series against the Dodgers, particularly after a cross country flight.
The Dodgers are swinging hot bats and are averaging just under five runs per game. Their pitching is even better than their hitting as they lead baseball in team ERA.
The Mets’ rotation is a disaster. The ERA is inflated and their Tuesday night starter is a big part of that. The offense is okay and Yoenis Cespedes is back in the fold, but can their power overcome their lack of pitching and uneven defense?
PROBABLE PITCHERS
Depending on your perspective, Robert Gsellman is either the luckiest or unluckiest young right-hander in the game.
He gets another start on Tuesday despite a 5.50 ERA, including a 5.71 mark as a starter.
How is he still getting opportunities? Either he’s got a voodoo doll of the other Mets’ starters or we’re back to the luck factor.
Gsellman has pitched bad enough to be back in Triple-A, but the Mets have seen enough pitchers go on the DL—Matt Harvey being the latest—that Gsellman is continuing to get chances. Too bad he’s not taking advantage of them.
The 23-year old right-hander was very good in his brief stint in the majors last year, but this year, he’s got a 1.544 WHIP and has given up nine homers in 68.2 innings. He allowed one in 44.2 innings last year.
In his last start, Gsellman gave up seven runs and 11 hits in five innings. He got the loss in that game, but despite that loss is 5-4, going back to the luck factor. Though, his 4.58 FIP and inflated BABIP may play to the unlucky side.
While we can debate whether luck, skill, experience or ability are at fault for his struggles, there’s no question that Gsellman is not pitching well. On the other side of this matchup, Brandon McCarthy gets the ball and he’s been throwing the ball remarkably.
The veteran right-hander has had an up-and-down career with injury playing a key role. He’s healthy right now and is 5-3 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.095 WHIP. He’s limited the opposition to four home runs in 63 innings and while length of outing hasn’t been a strength, quality has. He’s allowed two runs or fewer in five straight games and has allowed more than two runs just twice in 11 starts.
The Dodgers are 7-4 in McCarthy’s starts this season, but the right-hander is 0-2 in two career starts against the Mets despite pitching relatively well.
LIVE BETTING
The Mets offense is loaded with streaky players with power. Right now, Jay Bruce is hot and Lucas Duda is not.
Bruce is batting 12-for-27 in the last week, Duda is 2-for-19. Interestingly, both have a pair of home runs. Power is never a question for this team, but can they get people on to take advantage of that power?
Michael Conforto’s hot start to the season has started to wane. He’s still a legit offensive threat, but he’s no longer scorching hot.
Flipping things over to the Dodgers, Cody Bellinger has hit 12 home runs in his last 27 games and driven in 22 runs in that span. He’s just part of a stacked heart of the order with Corey Seager and Justin Turner both hitting very well, too.
The trio in the heart of the order all hit well against lefties, too, making them far less susceptible to late inning matchups than they were earlier in the year, or in years past.
QUICK PICK
The Dodgers have a far superior bullpen and a more aligned defense. The Mets are still trying to cram a corner outfielder into center.
New York could get lucky and get a hold of one or two to drive in a few runs, but Gsellman will need much more than a few runs of support to get the win. McCarthy’s just been throwing the ball too well and the Dodgers’ bullpen is good enough to cover three or four innings after the veteran right-hander.
The Dodgers are also at home, trending upwards and playing a team coming off a heart-breaking series and a cross country flight.
Things are looking very good for the Dodgers in this game. Think Blue on Tuesday.
MLB Odds: Dodgers 8, Mets 4
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