If your favorite baseball team isn't playing tonight, make the games more interesting by betting on MLB odds at BookMaker Sportsbook! This is the only online wagering outlet that offers early MLB moneylines, runlines and totals. First pitch for the game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles is scheduled for Monday, May 29, 2017, at 1:05 p.m. ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The matchup will be broadcast live on ESPN.
In one of Memorial Day’s early contests, the Baltimore Orioles will look to right the ship at home against the AL East leading New York Yankees. The Orioles and Yankees come into play having split their first six meetings with the home team having the advantage in each series.
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ODDS ANALYSIS
The Orioles entered their May 10 game against the Nationals having not lost more than two games in a row all season. At that time, the team was 22-10. Since then, the O’s have struggled going 3-10.
Baltimore’s strength over the last several years has been its ability to win the close, late games. Their bullpen has given them a decisive advantage over most the competition and their power bats have allowed them to stay in most games as they can cut leads quickly with just a single swing of the bat.
The power has remained for the Orioles, but the bullpen looks much different with Zach Britton on the shelf. Brad Brach has taken over the closer’s role, but he had a hiccup. He seems to have gotten back on track, but the rest of the pen has been spotty at best. Meanwhile, the rotation has shown to be inconsistent outside of Dylan Bundy while the offense continues to be way too dependent on the long ball.
Fortunately for the Orioles, the Yankees haven’t been nearly as strong as they were early on either. Their starting pitching is a concern, too, though their pen has done a better job without Aroldis Chapman than the O’s have without Britton.
Despite that, New York is just 6-8 in their last 14 games. That’s certainly better than the Birds, but nothing to write home about.
PROBABLE PITCHERS
The Orioles haven’t announced their starter for Sunday, let alone Monday as the off-day on Thursday and ineffectiveness of Ubaldo Jimenez could cause a shakeup. Bundy should be set for Monday unless they bump him up, but that seems unlikely given a likely innings limit on the young hurler this year.
Bundy’s been the best player for the Orioles this year per rWAR and has certainly been the team’s most consistent starter.
In 10 starts, the 24-year old is 5-3 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.144 WHIP. He’s lowered his walk rate from last year, but his strikeout rate has also taken a dive. Nevertheless, he’s created weak contact and has by 43-percent better than the average pitcher to date per ERA+.
It wasn’t until his ninth start of the year that Bundy failed to deliver a quality start and he bounced back in his last outing, to hold the Twins to two runs in seven innings and has nine quality starts already this year. His strikeout rate has also gone up recently. He struck out eight and seven in two of his last three games.
Rookie Jordan Montgomery will be given the arduous task to try and outpitch Bundy.
Montgomery has been an average starter so far. He’s 2-3 with a 4.30 ERA over 46 innings. He’s already faced the Orioles once, striking out seven, but allowing three runs in five innings.
The youngster has only allowed more than three runs in a game twice, but both have come within his last three starts.
LIVE BETTING
In offensive numbers, it’s the Yankees with the advantage, but the total runs scored in May are very close between these two teams.
New York is finally seeing Aaron Judge cool off just a bit, but he’s still leading the league in home runs with 15. Interestingly, he’s only driven in 30 runs. That still leads the team, but seems low given the homer total. His .315 average and 1.098 OPS are still remarkable, but both have been trending downward and he’s becoming a bit easier to strike out. He’s Ked 51 times.
Overall, there’s power everywhere in this lineup, but we’re starting to see all the players cool, making this lineup at least manageable.
As for the Orioles, this has always been a lineup full of power and full of strikeouts. Most of the players on this team can be pitched to, you just cannot make too many mistakes.
Welington Castillo and Trey Mancini are making the most consistent contact, hitting .330 and .294 respectively, the rest of the averages are mediocre at best.
Chris Davis, after a slow start, has shown his power stroke lately, though mostly for nothing as the O’s have been adding a lot of tallies in the loss column.
QUICK PICK
The Orioles are a team made up of streaky hitters and as such, they’re a streaky team. They’re more dependent on the homer than the Yankees, despite New York showing more power in the early going.
Based on the lineups and the bullpens, the Yankees have the seeming upper hand, but Bundy evens up the odds a bit and the O’s are still a better team at home.
If Bundy can get into the seventh, the Orioles do still have enough in the pen with the likes of Darren O’Day, Mychal Givens, Alec Asher and Brach to close this one out. Given the pitching matchup, go with the Orioles to get Game 1 of this series, but the Bronx Bombers may still have the edge in the series over a struggling Orioles’ team.
MLB Odds: Orioles 5, Yankees 3
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