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BookMaker is the only online sportsbook where you can get the earliest MLB moneylines, runlines, totals and props. If you want to wager on baseball odds like the pros do, you need to join BookMaker today! The ballgame between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox will take place Thursday, June 8, 2017, at 7:05 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. The matchup can be seen live on ESPN.
It’s the New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox; a rivalry as old as any in the game. These two teams will wrap up a three-game set on Thursday with a game on national television in primetime. The Sox are making their push now while the Yankees aim to hold on after taking the first two games of the season series back in April.
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ODDS ANALYSIS
The Red Sox have gone 4-4 since their six game winning streak, salvaging a series split in Baltimore after losing the first two games. David Price and Chris Sale pulled out the wins and Boston will look for a similar response from Price on Thursday.
Boston’s offense has really stepped up the pace of late as the Sox have been able to gain ground after fluctuating around .500 for so long.
The Sox are still not overpowering most teams offensively. They’re able to hit it out of the park when they need to, but Mookie Betts leads the team in homers with nine compared to Aaron Judge having hit 18 for the Yankees. In fact, there are four different Yankees with at least nine bombs, plus Aaron Hicks one behind with eight.
For Boston, they’ve been able to string hits together and form rallies. The overall numbers across the board are down for the Sox, but Xander Bogaerts is hitting .330.
Jackie Bradley Jr. has turned things around since a cold start. He’s getting on base at a .389 clip over his last 23 games.
While the Yankees have more pop, they’ve also got a number of hitters with solid averages, too. Starlin Castro, Didi Gregorius, Judge and Hicks are all hitting over .300. In general, even with Jacoby Ellsbury on the shelf, the team has seven of its nine hitters producing an OPS+ of at least 105, the exceptions are on the infield corners where Chris Carter is scuffling and Chase Headley has seen his average drop like a balloon down to .228 after sitting over .300 through the first few days of May.
PROBABLE PITCHERS
Price is back and looked like himself in his last start, beating the Orioles. He’ll get a chance to repeat the success against the Yankees, a team that beat him up pretty well last year. He went 1-3 with a 7.89 ERA against them in 2016, but is a respectable 8-5 with a 3.98 ERA in his career at Yankee Stadium.
Having Price back in the fold is a big boost to this Sox rotation that has been littered with injuries and some struggles.
After some struggles in his debut and issues throughout his rehab assignment, a lot of the concern subsided after his strong performance on June 3. The veteran southpaw allowed just three hits and one run—on a home run—to the Orioles, while striking out seven.
Price threw 92 pitches in his last start and presumably will be able to get up to the triple-digits this time around if needed.
For the Yankees, Michael Pineda gets the start. He’s been rather consistent this year—at least up until his last start.
After nine straight games allowing three runs or less, Pineda allowed a five spot in five innings against the Blue Jays. He allowed 10 hits and walked three in those five innings. He also only struck out one while giving up a pair of homers.
Pineda is usually a strikeout pitcher. He led the league with 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings last year and when he’s own, he’s averaging a strikeout per inning or more.
The Jays forced Pineda out of his rhythm and the Sox will try and follow that same game plan. Pineda’s always been one that can let things get out of hand. That’s been is biggest issue dating back to the pine tar incident.
For his career, Pineda is 4-5 against Boston in 11 starts, pitching to a 4.73 ERA and 1.237 WHIP.
LIVE BETTING
In a couple chances as the closer, Dellin Betances hadn’t been nearly as good as he has been in the set-up role. Some figured he wasn’t cut out for the ninth, but it seems he may have just been fatigued. Most of his chances have come in the late season after Joe Girardi had relied on him so heavily earlier one in the year.
Betances’s workload had been less in 2017 and he’s looked very good filling in while Arodis Chapman has been on the shelf. Even without Chapman, the Yankees’ pen has been a real strength.
Betances is 3-1 with five saves and a 0.49 ERA. His WHIP is 0.982 and he’s striking out 16.2 batters per nine innings.
Around Betances, Chasen Shreve, Chad Green and Jonathan Holder have all pitched well. Adam Warren has been an innings eater in the pen with a 2.51 ERA. Tyler Clippard has a 1.88 ERA in a setup role.
Of course, the bullpen is a strength of the Red Sox, too.
Boston has Craig Kimbrel throwing lights out in the ninth. They also have a number of hard throwers to contend with before him and few different arm slots to throw off the hitter’s ability to pick up the ball.
QUICK PICK
The Yankees just split a four game series with Toronto and lost two of three from the Orioles. The Sox have surpassed both in the standings and offer a bigger challenge to the Yankees in theory. Boston is also playing at Fenway where they are 17-10. The Yankees, meanwhile, are barely over .500 on the road.
Boston is playing better baseball right now. Sure, the Yankees have the better offense based on the numbers and sure, the bullpen can match up well with Boston, but Price is coming off a good start and Pineda is not.
The Sox have also scored 12 more runs than the Yankees since the start of May. Take Boston to win narrowly.
MLB Odds: Red Sox 5, Yankees 4
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