Two of the worst teams in the National League and baseball for that matter will battle it out in the middle game of three late Saturday afternoon when the San Diego Padres slug it out with the Cincinnati Reds.
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ODDS ANALYSIS
Due to being installed gargantuan underdogs seemingly every time out, the Padres only find themselves $229 in the red even though they currently sit 12 games under .500. It was 13 games under heading into Tuesday night, but like they’ve done against some of the better teams in the leaguer all season, they took the opener from the Orioles in the opener of their abbreviated two game series in Baltimore. The win moved them to 12-20 overall and down just $64 when playing away from Petco Park.
Lightning struck twice on Tuesday night with the then 16 game under .500 Reds taking the series opener against the Rangers 8-2 at Texas. Unlike the Padres however, Cincinnati has cost MLB bettors $801 overall even though it owns a similar record (28-43). Also like the Friars however is the teams home and away splits. Bryan Price’s squad has been a train wreck away from the GAB in playing just .314 ball, but when in front of the hometown faithful, Cincy has played to within two games of being a .500 team and is only down $2 for the season.
PROBABLE PITCHERS
Save for Drew Pomeranz, there really hasn’t been much to speak of within the Padres starting rotation. Thankfully for San Diego, their staff ace will take to the starting bump in this one looking to build off the six innings of 3 ER ball he threw at the Nationals last time out. While he sports a 6-7 overall record, the righty has only given up 57 hits through 81 total innings pitched and he owns an impressive 96:27 K/BB ratio.
He’s always had the stuff to succeed at the MLB level, but staying healthy normally proved to be his demise. So far so good on that front in 2016.
Cincinnati ranks No. 30 in ERA (5.32) and WHIP (1.56) as well as No. 26 in quality starts. When you pair the inability to get batters out with the worst defense in all of baseball, it comes as no surprise to see the Redlegs bringing up the rear of the NL Central standings.
Brandon Finnegan is one of two starters that owns a sub 4.00 ERA on this staff, but his 1.33 WHIP gets him into way too much trouble with his walk rate up at 4.2 per nine innings. You can’t succeed in this league if you issue free passes at that rate. Thankfully for him, the Padres rank amongst the bottom third of the league in taking walks.
LIVE BETTING
Wil Myers is in the midst of yet another breakout baseball season. He busted out on the scene early in his career, but injuries took a major toll on him the last couple seasons. This year has been a completely different story with him bating .290 overall and launching a team-high 16 bombs out of the park.
He’s raked at least one hit in each of his last six games entering Wednesday’s action, and is certainly one to target for player props with him staring back at a wild Finnegan on Saturday.
QUICK PICK
Though the Reds have played some of their best ball at home and Jay Bruce continues to swing a hot stick, I can’t help but go with Pomeranz in this spot. Cincinnati has plated an average of just 3.8 runs per games and won just six of 15 games versus lefties on the season. Drew’s been very good regardless of venue all season, and not even the GAB should get in the way of putting a damper on his best season yet.
MLB Odds: Padres 8, Reds 4
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