MLB Odds - Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants Game Preview

2017-MLB-Nationals-at-Giants-Bet-Online

BookMaker is the only online sportsbook where you can get the earliest MLB moneylines, runlines, totals and props. If you want to wager on baseball odds like the pros do, you need to join BookMaker today! The ballgame between the Washington Nationals and San Francisco Giants will take place Monday, May 29, 2017, at 4:05 p.m. ET at AT&T Park. The game will be televised live on ESPN.

Just when the San Francisco Giants looked to be turning the corner, they met a Chicago Cubs team starting to heat up and they’re back to losing games in bunches. After a weekend reprieve against Atlanta, the Giants will contend with the NL East leading Washington Nationals who, aside from the bullpen, appear to be one of the best all-around teams in either league.

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ODDS ANALYSIS

The Nationals took two of three against the Mariners after returning home from a dreadful road trip.

Washington heads back on the road to start a nine game, three-city west coast swing starting on Monday. They’re 14-10 on the road this year, but just 2-7 in their last nine road games.

Until the series with Seattle, the Washington offense had slowed, but this is a deep lineup. Ryan Zimmerman’s transformation has continued and we’ve yet to see the clock strike midnight on that Cinderella story. Between Zimmerman, Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy and Anthony Rendon, this lineup can hurt you top to bottom. It’s certainly a bigger challenge for opposing pitchers than the Buster Posey/Brandon Belt tandem in San Francisco.

The rest of the Giants’ lineup doesn’t come close to striking as much fear as the Nat’s order. For the Giants, it’s clear who you don’t want to beat you, but it’s a ‘pick your poison’ scenario in Washington.

PROBABLE PITCHERS

Tanner Roark and Matt Moore will square off on this Memorial Day matchup. Neither starter has had the season they were expecting to this point.

Roark was on Team USA for the World Baseball Classic and some feel that may have hurt him. He’s 4-2 with a 4.32 ERA in 10 starts which is okay, but not up to what we’ve come to expect from him over his last few years.

Interestingly, Roark’s walk rate is only slightly inflated compared to last year and his FIP is nearly identical. Despite that, his ERA in 2016 was 2.83, a run and a half lower than this year.

Some of that difference is based on luck, but Roark has also been much easier to square up this year.

The 30-year old right-hander put together a very good start his last time out, holding the Mariners to a single run over seven innings, but he’s had good starts before. He allowed two unearned runs over six innings to the Phillies on May 7 and followed that up with 11 runs allowed in 9.2 innings over his next two starts.

While he hasn’t consistently been able to produce this year, he’s been good when his stuff was working and he’s had career success against the Giants, going 5-0 against them with a 2.51 ERA.

Flipping over to Moore, he’s been a tale of two pitchers. At home, the southpaw is 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA in four starts. On the road, he’s 0-4 with a 7.80 ERA in six starts. Fortunately for the Giants, this game is going to be played at AT&T Park.

Moore’s always had a high walk rate, but he’s coupled that this year with an inability to locate his pitches in the zone as well, leading to a ton of hard hit balls. For whatever reason, he’s been far more comfortable on his home mound, but he’s still just 2-5 this year with a 5.28 cumulative ERA.

Four of his last five starts have been on the road, so Monday will be a great test of whether those home/road splits are the driver for his recent struggles or whether his struggles will extend to his return home.

LIVE BETTING

With such a great lineup and a nice starting rotation, the Nationals are just an incomplete team when you get to the bullpen.

Most recently, Dusty Baker has dubbed the youthful Koda Glover as this team’s closer. Blake Treinen and Shawn Kelley have both failed in the role and while Matt Alber’s has been good, that magic can only last so long.

Glover has the stuff for the job, but can a hurler only barely out of college handle the most important bullpen role at the big-league level? The Giants have the better, more experienced answer in former National Mark Melancon. The options leading to him are coming together, too. When Melancon was on the DL, the pen was struggling, but with him back in the ninth, Derek Law and Hunter Strickland fall into place ahead of him.

If this becomes a bullpen game, the Giants win. Washington will try and mount a lead and get some insurance: a formula that’s worked reasonably well to this point.

QUICK PICK

The Giants are at home where Moore thrives. Sure, the Nationals’ offense provides a challenge, but look for Moore to put together a respectable start and keep the Giants close.

With the National’s bullpen still in flux, the Giants have a chance to get the win in a close game.

Since Roark hasn’t been lights out himself in the starting role, take the Giants’ spotty offense to score just enough, getting the last run or two to nab the victory off the National’s pen.

MLB Odds: Giants 7, Nationals 6

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