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It's really tough to blow out the same team twice in conference play in a single year. The Arizona Wildcats blew past the Washington Huskies 99-67 thanks to a 48-18 run which took most of the second half when the two teams met a few weeks ago. Now, the tables could turn with these two meeting in Seattle.
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SCHEDULING
Arizona has most certainly been a little vulnerable here on the road in Pac-12 play. The team has some good, sturdy results against some middling teams in the conference, but Cal, USC and UCLA have all picked off the Wildcats in somewhat similar games, something that live bettors must keep in the back of their mind in this one.
U-Dub is coming off of a great overtime win over Arizona State at home on Wednesday night. Really, just about all of the games the Huskies have played here at home in conference play have been insanely close. Only one of the five was separated by more than five points going into overtime, though at the final whistle, the 95-83 final score line against Arizona State wasn't nearly as close as the game really was.
KEY MATCHUP
Shutting down Dejounte Murray is going to be really key for the Wildcats in this one. Washington's do-it-all star put up 34 points, 11 boards and six assists in the win over Arizona State, the best game of his collegiate career. We can't forget that this is true frosh who is improving with every passing day at the college level, and he's only getting better from here.
Of course, Murray still shoots just a tick over 40 percent, and that isn't good against an Arizona defense which ranks No. 97 nationally in opposing field goal percentage at 41.5 percent and No. 74 in scoring defense at 67.4 points per game. We've seen many good teams really struggle to get into the 50s against this defense, let alone into the 80s as the Huskies are used to. The pace of this game will surely help keep Murray in a groove, but if the youngster is struggling early on to create some space, live bettors could find a great opportunity, knowing that he's an easily frustrated player who can go incredibly cold for long stretches of time.
In the first meeting of these two teams this year, Murray went just 3-of-12 from the field and scored eight points.
KEY STATS & TRENDS
The Wildcats have won and covered their last two games, but they haven't really fared well as single-digit favorites this season as they will be again on Saturday. They're just 3-5 ATS this season when laying single digits, but what's more shocking is the fact that they're also 3-5 SU in these spots. For a team which figured to contend for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, this is a troublesome development.
Arizona attempted 28 foul shots in the first meeting against just 11 for Washington. The Wildcats also shot 60.3 percent from the field and 60.0 percent from distance, numbers which really cannot keep up here on the road in this one. More alarm though, were the 24 assists on 35 shots, proving that the ball really moved around well for the Wildcats against a Washington defense which tends to be overaggressive in the half-court, especially. If the Huskies start chasing the ball around instead of sticking on their men or their areas in zone defense, you can bet an Arizona team averaging over 81 points per game will make them pay in live betting.
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