There's only one team left in the ACC without a win in conference play this year, and there's only one team which has yet to lose a conference game. The bad news for the Boston College Eagles is that they're the butt of this joke in what could be a laugher of a game against the North Carolina Tar Heels on Saturday afternoon.
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HOW THE BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES CAN COVER THE SPREAD
Clearly, the Eagles aren't going to win this game, as they're going to be massive underdogs against one of the best teams in the nation. The trick is going to be figuring out how to keep this one close for long stretches without getting run off the floor.
The big problem we see for BC is that it doesn't seem to have anyone who wants to have the ball on the offensive end of the court. Only Matt Milon and Dennis Clifford are shooting better than 42 percent from the field amongst qualified shooters, and the man who ends up doing the most damage, Eli Carter is a horribly inefficient player, averaging 17.2 points per game but shooting 39.2 percent from the floor.
There's no doubt that UNC is going to do some scoring in this game, particularly on its own floor, and what we've seen out of the Eagles in games like these in the past is a general inability to keep up. If someone, Boston College can keep this game to around 65 possessions a side, it'll have a chance to cover. Otherwise, look out. The result could be devastating just like a 76-49 loss was to Notre Dame.
HOW THE NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS CAN COVER THE SPREAD
The big thing from our standpoint for the Tar Heels is focus. We're not thrilled about a couple of their games offensively of late against lesser foes. They've averaged just 75.0 points per game against Virginia Tech, Wake Forest and N.C. State, and though all three games were won, none of the three were covered. This game could fit that script as well if North Carolina isn't careful, especially if the team is caught looking ahead to road games at Louisville and Notre Dame next week.
The man we're looking to step up is Marcus Paige. He's one of the most talented point guards in America, but all of a sudden these last four games, he's totaled just 15 points and 20 assists. He's capable of significantly more, especially from a scoring perspective, but we just haven't seen it in recent games. No one can matchup with him in this one on the other side of the floor, and he'll be the key to getting this offense off and running.
ANALYSIS AND ODDS PREDICTION
Roy Williams is going to want to put 100 up in this game to get his offense feeling good about itself. We're not sure that'll truly be the case, but we think getting into the high-80s is a good, reasonable goal.
With Carter throwing up horrid shots all over the place, the Tar Heels should use their massive size and athletic advantage to get boards and get out and run. There could be a ton of fast break points and easy buckets in transition in this NCAAB game. Sure, we're going to have to lay at least three touchdowns, but we have no hesitations based on what we've seen out of the Eagles thus far this year.
North Carolina 88, Boston College 59
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