The Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners had to scratch and claw for their lives on Friday night, surviving a four-overtime classic in the semifinals of the WAC tournament. They must turn around and try to avoid some fatigue as they need one more win to qualify for March Madness.
Cal State Bakersfield will face off against the New México State Aggies in the conference tournament championship game with an NCAA Tournament berth on the line. The Roadrunners played really well down the stretch to clinch the regular season WAC title, but there was a lot of parity during the season.
Cal State Bakersfield was taxed physically in the semis, which could give New México State just the opening it needs to win this game and go dancing.
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Cal State Bakersfield is 21-8 straight up and 2-3 against the spread. The Roadrunners have played in a pair of neutral court games that had a spread, covering in one of them. Cal State Bakersfield is 1-3 against the spread as the favorite this season.
New México State is 26-5 straight up and 4-2 against the spread. The Aggies have played one game with a spread on a neutral court and failed to cover it. New México State is 4-1 against the spread as the favorite this season and 0-1 against the spread as the underdog.
Scheduling Situation
Some teams in the finals of their conference tournament are playing a fourth game in four days, and Cal State Bakersfield isn’t in that situation. The semifinal was its first game of the tournament and the Roadrunners were well-rested coming in.
However, it remains to be seen how they bounce back after such a physically and emotionally draining game against Utah Valley. Dedrick Basile played a whopping 53 minutes in the game, scoring 18 points and grabbing five rebounds.
Jaylin Arrington played 49 minutes and Brent Wrapp played 44, so all three registered more minutes than in a regulation college game. Additionally, Damiyne Durham played 36 minutes, Moataz Aly 34 and Shon Briggs 32.
In a matchup against a tough foe, a game played so recently and for so long must be taken into consideration when it comes to the spread.
Previous Meetings
New México State won the first matchup between these teams by a score of 63-58, rallying from a seven-point halftime deficit to pick up the win. Ian Baker had 13 points to lead the way.
The Roadrunners got their revenge in the rematch, winning 72-53. Cal State Bakersfield dominated the first half and cruised to the win, ending New México State’s long conference winning streak.
Matt Smith had 17 points to lead Cal State Bakersfield, while Baker played well again, scoring 18 points for New México State.
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Cal State Bakersfield is the top seed, but it didn’t look very good against Utah Valley and now must try to rebound quickly. It may be too much to ask.
New México State is a solid team as well and has the luxury of finishing in regulation last time out. While the Roadrunners are the top seed, watch out for an upset in this one. Choose the Aggies to take advantage of Bakersfield’s scheduling situation to come away with the win and advance to the Big Dance.
It will be a tough end for Cal State Bakersfield, one that was two nights in the making. New México State was right there with them during the season and will come away with the win that matters.
College Basketball Odds: New México State 74, Cal State Bakersfield 68
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