A season ago, the Bulldogs beat the Commodores, hosting them at the Stegeman Coliseum in Athens. This time around, it’s Vanderbilt that gets to host as they search for revenge. Vandy is also returning a few more top performers from that game while Georgia’s leading scorer on the year—Yante Maten—managed just three points.
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HOW THE GEORGIA BULLDOGS CAN COVER THE SPREAD
Defensively, the Bulldogs are a strong team in holding the opposition to just 37.8 percent shooting from the floor and allowing 67.4 PPG. Georgia, while coming off a loss to Florida and having dropped three of its last four ATS, is still 6-3 ATS in its last nine and 5-3 ATS as the road team this season.
As for the opposition, the Commodores are boasting a better offense and a very good defense in their own right, but they’ve struggled mightily ATS all season long. Over their last 14 games, they’re a bankroll killing 4-10 ATS.
If the Bulldogs are to cover, or even get the win on the road, they’ll need more than just a great defense and strong trends in their favor—they’ll need to score.
Georgia’s roster is shallow on offensive talent, but they do have Yante Maten in the frontcourt averaging 15.8 PPG and shooting nearly 50 percent from the floor. He’s also providing eight RPG and 47 blocks.
Outside of Maten it’s a bit shallow on the inside, but on the outside the team has three guards averaging at least 10.9 PPG with each shooting north of 38 percent from behind the arc.
HOW THE VANDERBILT COMMODORES CAN COVER THE SPREAD
There’s far more depth Vandy’s roster. They go five deep with players scoring at least nine PPG while Riley LeChance sits at 7.9 PPG and is second in assists with 68.
Outside, Wade Baldwin IV and Matthew Fisher-Davis are each shooting at least 44.3 percent behind the arc while center Damian Jones and forward Jeff Roberson offer a success rate north of 52 percent each on field goals inside.
The trends may not favor Vandy ATS, but the Bulldogs are struggling ATS of late to which should not be ignored.
The Commodores also boast the statistical advantage in this showdown. They’re averaging a point differential near 10 per game over their opposition. They’re scoring 76.8 PPG and shooting a very strong 39 percent from three-point range.
That’s more than enough offense to beat Georgia, and then some!
The Commodores defense shouldn’t have any problems holding down a Bulldog offense ranked No. 279 in college hoops, particularly when it’s going against a top-10 defense according to field goal percentage against.
Breaking down the Bulldogs’ offense even further, while they have four players performing rather well, there’s a huge void after that leaving them vulnerable to fatigue later in the game.
ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION
On offense, the Commodores have scored at least 74 points in five straight games as their offense has rebounded from some early season struggles.
Vanderbilt’s offense may tick down some on Saturday, but look for it to be too strong for Georgia. Baldwin gives the Commodores the best player on the outside with Jones who can stack up with Maten inside.
The Commodores are also over .500 ATS at home where they can meet expectations something they’ve struggled with on the road. As for common opponents, the Bulldogs just fell to the Gators, a team the Commodores beat narrowly back in January.
The Bulldogs can keep this close with their defense, but look for the deeper Vanderbilt roster to prevail in a nail bitter.
Vanderbilt 69, Georgia 66
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Real-time spreads, totals, props and moneyline odds are all available by clicking here so start betting with BookMaker today! The Georgia Bulldogs and Vanderbilt Commodores square off on Saturday, February 20, 2016, at 12 p.m. ET at the Memorial Gym. You can watch the game live on ESPN2.
