Bill Self and his Kansas Jayhawks are looking for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament and barring a season-ending loss to the Oklahoma State Cowboys and an early exit in the Big 12 Tournament, will certainly get it. Kansas is 27-3 and has looked like one of the best teams in the country all season long, while Oklahoma State has really turned it on in the past month. Okie State definitely has a resume strong enough for a bid to the dance, but can improve its seed with a win in Stillwater.
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Kansas is on a seven-game winning streak, but the Jayhawks are just 3-3-1 ATS during that run. In the first four games of the streak, they were fortunate to win them all, squeaking by Baylor, Texas Tech, and Iowa State and completing an unfathomable comeback against West Virginia. They have won the last three by double digits though.
Oklahoma State may have fallen to Iowa State over the weekend, but the Cowboys are still one of the hottest teams in the Big 12. They are 8-2 ATS over their last 10 and 8-2 SU as well with road wins over both TCU and West Virginia. Over has been a solid play in home games, with a record of 7-2-1.
Matchup to Watch
Oklahoma State is going to try to outgun Kansas in this game. The Cowboys have one of the highest scoring offenses in the country, averaging 85.6 PPG, and have three players that are scoring in double figures. Jawun Evans leads the group with 18.6 PPG and knocks down 38.6 percent of his threes, but Jeffrey Carroll is the most efficient with 17 PPG on 53.8 percent shooting from the floor.
This unit will be going against a Kansas defense that has had some trouble stopping some of the better offenses in the nation. The Jayhawks are allowing 71.5 PPG and opponents are able to knock down 35.8 percent of their three-pointers against them. The last time Kansas played an offense this good, the Jayhawks ended up losing to the Cyclones in Allen Fieldhouse.
Key Stat
Both of these teams can make it rain from three and that should mean a pretty high scoring game. Kansas is hitting over 40 percent of its three-point attempts on the season, a number that puts them 10th in the nation. Frank Mason III has been lights out from beyond the arc, hitting 50 percent of his treys and must be guarded at all times or he will make opponents suffer.
Oklahoma State is also knocking down over 40 percent of its tries from downtown and has a number of guys that have the green light to fire away. Phil Forte III is the most prolific shooter with 186 attempts on the season, over 6 per game.
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This game doesn’t mean as much to Kansas as it typically might. The Jayhawks have already clinched the Big 12 regular season title and might be on the No. 1 line even with a loss here and a one-and-done in the conference tournament. Kansas might just be looking to conserve its energy before running the gauntlet that is March Madness and that would help Oklahoma State.
The Cowboys aren’t as talented of a team as the Jayhawks, but Kansas has a lot of issues on the road, particularly against high-powered offenses. Oklahoma State can shoot the three and provided it can play a little defense, will get the upset win against Kansas.
College Basketball Odds: Oklahoma State 81, Kansas 79
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