The Ole Miss Rebels have strung together two consecutive victories in conference and will aim to make it three in a row against the Texas A&M Aggies next time out. Ole Miss is in the middle of the SEC pack and will look to keep moving up the standings.
Ole Miss has the superior record and plays at home in this matchup, so it will certainly be the favorite in this matchup. The Aggies, though, are coming off an upset win of Georgia and would love to pull off another unlikely win.
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Ole Miss is 12-7 straight up and 10-8-1 against the spread. The Rebels have played 11 home games this season but have only covered four times. They have been much better against the spread on the road, covering four times and pushing once in five attempts.
Mississippi is 4-7-1 against the spread as the favorite, again paling in comparison to their work as an underdog. Ole Miss’ status as the favorite in this one is something to consider.
Texas A&M is 10-8 straight up and 6-10 against the spread. The Aggies have played in three true road games on the season and have failed to cover in any of them. Texas A&M is also 0-3 against the spread as the underdog on the season.
Key Stat
Eight. That’s how many wins Ole Miss has put together by single digits this season. While the Rebels have a better record than Texas A&M, they have used a little bit of luck to get there.
Mississippi is scoring an average of 76.7 points per game while allowing 75.7 points per contest, which is a point-differential of only plus-one point per contest. Texas A&M has an inferior record but has a point-differential of plus-five points per game, so the Aggies may be in position to make to pull this upset.
Ole Miss has the home court so it deserves to be the favorite but don’t be surprised if the Aggies prove to be a thorn in the side of the Rebels.
Injury Report
Mississippi’s leading scorer, Deandre Burnett, missed two games recently with a high ankle sprain. The Rebels lost to South Carolina but then rebounded to beat Tennessee without him.
Burnett returned last time out in a win over Missouri, scoring 14 points and adding three assists in a 75-71 win over Missouri. He is averaging 17.8 points and 3.1 assists per game and is a go-to guy for the Rebels.
Burnett is shooting a respectable 37.1 percent from three-point range this season but only 36 percent from the field and must improve on his shooting inside the arc. Even though he will sometimes force shots, Burnett is a legitimate scorer and one the Aggies must account for.
Ole Miss is glad to have its leading scorer back in the fold after a couple games away.
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Ole Miss has played well enough this season to get in the conversation for a postseason tournament berth, but will need to maintain that down the stretch against some tough SEC competition. Texas A&M hasn’t had as good of a year but has hung tough in most of its games, including against ranked competition.
While first glance may say this one should go the way of the Rebels, don’t let the record and the home court advantage pull you into that trap.
Texas A&M is good enough to go on the road and get this win. It should be a lucrative choice for those willing to look past the basic win-loss records and see the bigger picture.
College Basketball Odds: Texas A&M 71, Ole Miss 69
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