If both sides are full strength, this will be one of the most intriguing matchups of the season. The Warriors are the NBA title favorites and the Spurs are their top contender.
Since this game is at San Antonio, the spread should be close and could favor the Spurs. The only time this season the Warriors have been underdogs was the first game here when they rested all of their stars, so this could be a rare occurrence.
The Warriors are a couple games ahead of the Spurs for the No. 1 seed in the West and a win in this one would essentially wrap up home court advantage throughout the postseason. A Spurs victory would make the race tight down the stretch.
This war on the floor will go down Wednesday, March 29, 2017, at 9:30 p.m. ET at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas. The game will be televised live on NBATV.
We'll have NBA odds available for this and every game on the NBA Wednesday schedule.
Odds Analysis
The Spurs are 56-16 straight up and 37-34-1 against the spread. San Antonio has played in 35 home games this season and covered in 17 of them. The Spurs are 33-33-1 against the spread as the favorite and have covered in four of five attempts as the underdog.
The Warriors are 59-14 straight up and 34-37-1 against the spread. Golden State has played in 38 road games this season, going 16-21-1 against the spread. The Warriors are 33-36-1 against the spread as the favorite and didn’t cover in the one game they were the underdog.
Previous Meetings
It’s been an interesting season series. The Spurs won the last matchup of backups in a rout, 107-85, as Patty Mills had 21 points to lead the way. Kawhi Leonard and LaMarcus Aldridge missed the game with injuries for San Antonio, while Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Andre Iguodala and Draymond Green all sat out for Golden State.
While nothing worthwhile can be taken from that game, the Spurs also won the first matchup between these teams to open up the regular season. While most were expecting a big game from the Warriors, the Spurs rolled to a 129-100 victory.
Golden State started the season a bit slowly while working Kevin Durant into the fold, and then found its groove to shoot to the top of the standings. Now Durant is hurt, so against the Warriors had to adjust.
However, they are playing well with seven consecutive victories and will undoubtedly give the Spurs a good game. San Antonio would love to sweep the season series while Golden State could use the win for its psyche.
Player to Watch
Steph Curry -- The reigning MVP hasn’t been as good this season, but he has found a groove of late as he has been counted on to take over a bigger role without Durant. Curry is averaging 24.9 points, 6.4 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game this season. He is shooting 46.3 percent from the field and 40 percent from three-point range.
He has embraced a distributor role lately. Curry had 27 points, 12 assists and six steals in a recent win over the Kings and 21 points, 11 assists and four steals in a win last time out against the Grizzlies.
Curry will be closely guarded by the Spurs throughout and will likely need to hit contested shots to have a good game.
Free NBA ATS Pick
The Warriors are so good offensively that they will always be capable of winning a game. However, the Spurs have the home court advantage and have nearly been as good this year.
Golden State could be the underdog with a legitimate lineup for the first time this season, and the Spurs will prove why in this one. As always, keep an eye on the playing time decisions leading up to this one as both coaches have been fine resting starters.
If key players like Leonard, Aldridge, Thompson or Curry are missing, it could change the spread significantly. If both teams give it their all, the Spurs will pull out the win and cover the spread.
NBA Odds: Spurs 111, Warriors 106
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