Golden State has extended its most recent winning streak to nine games, but more impressively it’s strung together 41-straight victories at home, the second longest all time.
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ODDS ANALYSIS
The Warriors are a dominating team no matter what, but they’ve been particularly successful with extra rest. With more than a day off between games, Golden State is 14-0 SU and 10-3-1 ATS. By comparison, the Rockets are a 4-5 SU and ATS.
In general, Houston is the inferior team ATS as well as SU. The Rockets are nine games below .500 ATS and just 10-14 ATS when on the road. Golden State, meanwhile, is 13-10 ATS at home and has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
WHEN THE HOUSTON ROCKETS ARE ON OFFENSE
The Rockets have scored at least 99 points in 15 of their last 17 games and rank fifth in the NBA in scoring with 104.9 PPG.
Houston matches up with a fast paced Warriors team that outscores its opponents with a dominating offense, but is allowing a league average 102.8 PPG despite holding the opposition to just 43 percent shooting from the floor and 31.2 percent from behind the arc. The opposition gets plenty of chances with the fast play, so it’ll be up to the Rockets to capitalize on those opportunities.
As a team, the success or failure of the team often boils down to the likes of Trevor Ariza, Corey Brewer and Patrick Beverley. The trio need to step up in support of guard James Harden and center Dwight Howard.
Another important aspect to keep a close eye on early is the health of Harden. The superstar is suffering from a hand injury that makes him a question mark going into Tuesday.
Even if he does play, keep tabs on whether he’s favoring his hand and whether he is able to shoot accurately per usual. Of course, even if he’s fully healthy, the team still needs production from the trio mentioned earlier.
Harden scored 33 points on February 6 against Portland while Howard put up 17-points, but the Rockets still scored just 79 in a dismal loss. Ariza, Brewer and Beverley combined to score just 17 points.
The production of Marcus Thornton is crucial, too. He’s one of four players with at least 10 PPG.
WHEN THE GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS ARE ON OFFENSE
Bank on Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson to produce from the guard position. That’s a given at this point as even against the top-ranked Spurs’ defense, the Warriors put up 120-points with Curry’s 37 points leading all scorers.
Over the Warriors’ last nine games, they’ve tallied at least 108-points each game, and have topped 115 eight times.
While it’s easy to focus on Curry’s 29.8 PPG and Thompson’s 21.4 PPG and ignore the rest of the team, there isn’t a better collection of players in the sport.
Alongside the elite guards, the Warriors have a strong frontcourt headed by Draymond Green and veteran Andre Iguodala. Greene is the team’s third highest scorer with 14.4 PPG and also leads the way in rebounds with 9.6.
While he’s a force inside, he’s not a bad shooter on the outside either, sinking 41.9 percent of his shots from behind the arc.
A league leading shooting percentage on field goals and three-pointers is a big key to the team’s success. Of course, few can beat Golden State on the glass either.
Should the Rockets get out to an early lead or shut down Curry early in the game, jump on the depressed spread and total. You cannot count on that to last, especially at Oracle Arena.
BETTING TRENDS AND MATCHUPS
For fans of offense, there’s not a better matchup in the game than seeing James Harden square off against Stephen Curry. Of course, this depends on the health of Harden, but Curry currently leads Harden for most points in the NBA 29.8 to 27.8.
Having already played in a game versus each other once this year, Curry held the upper hand, scoring 25 compared to just 16 for Harden back in October. The two teams met once since then, but Curry didn’t play.
Still Thompson stepped up and outscored Harden 38 to 30.
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