Control of the United States Senate is up for grabs on Tuesday. There are currently 11 more Republicans in the upper house of Congress than Democrats but Democrats are feeling confident about their chances to win the Presidency and take over the Senate. Doing so would help smooth Clinton’s transition into the Oval Office, assuming she won the Presidency, and break the deadlock in the Supreme Court. With that in mind, let’s examine some of the key Senate races.
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Who Will Win the US Senate Seat in Florida?
Marco Rubio (R) -1200
Patrick Murphy (D) +600
Rubio was one of the favorites to win the Republican Party’s nomination for the Presidency, but his campaign blew up rather spectacularly. Despite having the support of a number of key power brokers within the party, Rubio was never able to resonate with the base and his popularity in the Sunshine State has taken a hit as a result of some of his actions.
During the nomination process, Rubio announced that he wouldn’t be running for Senate again, but changed his mind after bowing out of the presidential race. Rubio had been portrayed as robotic and a flip-flopper and that move didn’t help him to brush aside either of those accusations.
Although Murphy is somewhat close in the polls, the fundraising arm of the Democratic Party announced that they were no longer going to fund Murphy’s campaign recently. That means that the party’s internal pollsters think that they’d have to spend too much money in order to win the seat, so instead they will be focusing on other areas.
Who Will Win the US Senate Seat in Indiana?
Todd Young (R) -160
Evan Bayh (D) +120
This has been a fascinating race ever sense Bayh surprised everyone by announcing his entry in July of this year. Bayh was considered the favorite at the beginning because of name recognition and his political history, but Young has gained ground on him and recently moved ahead of him according to a poll released on Friday.
Young’s numbers have the GOP elated right now. Most considered that Bayh would be able to win the seat by a decent margin due to his ties and access to capital, but Young has proven to be a popular figure and adept at attack ads against Bayh. Bayh’s political past has given Young a lot of material to use and he has done just that very effectively.
Who Will Win the US Senate Seat in Missouri?
Roy Blunt (R) -215
Jason Kander (D) +165
This is another seat that the Democrats have a chance of flipping in 2016. Blunt’s seat was considered relatively safe at the start of this political cycle, but Kander’s message of being a Washington outsider has resonated in this polarizing election. Kander is a military veteran still relatively new to politics and he has been able to strike a chord with the anti-establishment message. He has tied that with a pro-gun stance that appeals to many Missourians.
That message has been countered by Blunt who has been outspending his opponent in order to link Kander to Hillary Clinton. Kander isn’t a traditional Democrat, but this appeal may scare GOP voters into toeing the party line. Republicans have strayed from their tickets more than Democrats in recent elections, but in a red state like Missouri quite a few need to stray in order for a Democrat to win a Senate seat.
For all his work, Blunt is just a point ahead in the polls. Kander has stayed close and he’s worth a shot to pull this off as an underdog.
THE BETS
Rubio -1200
Young -160
Kander +165
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