Donald Trump is the President-Elect and is slated to take the oath of office on January 20, 2017. Trump’s surprise win sent shockwaves throughout most of the country and has led to protests in some of the nation’s biggest cities over the last two weeks. Although he will be the Commander-in-Chief of a unified government, there are still some very real concerns that he might not be able to finish his term. Bookmakers have since opened odds on Trump to not complete his four years in the Oval Office and below we’ll discuss some of the ways he may not make it to 2021.
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Will Donald Trump leave office via impeachment or resignation?
Yes +250
BUSINESS INTERESTS
There have been increasing calls for Trump to separate himself from his businesses while he is the POTUS, but so far there has been little headway made getting Trump to step aside as a decision maker for many of his businesses.
The media has been hammering him for this in recent weeks with various stories being published. One noted how foreign envoys were staying at Trump’s own hotel in Washington DC in an attempt to curry favor with the next POTUS, while another article stated that Trump had tried to use his new power to prevent a wind farm from being built outside his golf course in Scotland.
This doesn’t even mention the business dealings of his we don’t know about. Trump never released his taxes we have no real idea how deep his ties with other countries run but there is rampant speculation that he has plenty of Russian business interests. If it’s discovered that his business ties are factoring into policy decisions that could lead to overwhelming support to fire Trump.
REPUBLICAN ANGER?
One of the other major possibilities that could lead to Trump being ousted is if he breaks too much with the Republican Party. Until 8 years ago, Trump was a life-long Democrat who had donated to Bill Clinton and other Democratic Party candidates, and it was only recently that he had rebranded himself as a Republican.
That was one of the reasons that the Republican establishment was originally tepid about his candidacy and Trump has signaled that he won’t follow through with some of his campaign promises. He is pro-life and does not seem like he is actually going to push for charges against Hillary Clinton.
Trump has also walked back other campaign statements over the last week or so. He is no longer a proponent of torture, has backed off his claims of strengthening libel laws, and is beginning to distance himself from the alt-right.
He runs the risk of getting impeached if he goes too far though. The Republicans have one of their own as Vice President in Mike Pence and if Trump strays too far ideologically they might just move to get rid of him.
LEGAL CASES
Trump is moving to settle all the legal cases against him and notably came to terms with those suing his failed university last week. In the settlement, he did not have to admit fault and in exchange gave the plaintiffs a hefty sum.
There may be more cases against Trump to come with allegations of sexual assault and racism having marred his candidacy. It is unlikely that any of these will lead to his downfall after the storm he has weathered already, but how big of a surprise would it be if there were a bombshell in the works?
THE BET
Although Trump is set to be the most unpopular president America has had on Inauguration Day, only twice have impeachment proceedings been brought against a president. The first, against Andrew Johnson in the 1860s, narrowly failed, while the Republican-led attempt to impeach Bill Clinton turned out to be a disaster. It’s unlikely that Trump will be impeached, but not implausible either.
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