The party conventions are a little over a month away in the long race to see who will be the next POTUS. Both candidates still need to choose running mates and the debates are still a few months away, but we are starting to see each candidate’s campaign platform take shape. Now we’ll take a look at the areas each candidate will focus on in order to get votes from the electorate.
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DONALD TRUMP
Donald Trump may be the hardest presidential candidate to pin to a platform in US history. Trump has repeatedly contradicted himself throughout the nomination cycle as he moves from place to place and says whatever he can to get populist support. This strategy has worked for him to this point, especially with a field of Republican candidates who had no idea how to counteract his brash style.
One of the things Trump has remained firm on throughout his nomination campaign is building a wall on the Mexican border. Trump has asserted that illegal immigrants are taking more and more American jobs and that they are bringing crime into the country, not only taking US jobs. Although these claims are extremely dubious, these assertions have found support with a great deal of voters. Trump was able to play on an underlying sentiment that no other candidate had been able, or wanted to, tap and that helped propel him towards the nomination. Even if he is elected president, it will be very difficult for him to build a wall, but that hasn’t stopped his supporters from believing his campaign cries.
Trump has also renewed his calls for a ban on Muslim immigration into the United States after the Orlando night club shootings. He has been vehemently anti-Muslim since his campaign began and this too has played to his electorate. In a press conference on Monday, he stated that there has been a flood of Muslims into America and alluded that these immigrants were similar to the killer in Orlando saying, “…many of them have the same thought process as this savage killer.” He is playing on people’s fears in order to get support and while that worked in the Republican nomination, it might not work in the general election.
HILLARY CLINTON
As for Clinton, her platform seems to be more traditional and in line with past Democratic candidates. Although she has had to adjust some of her stances after a strong primary challenge from Bernie Sanders, the vast majority remains the same as it was throughout the Democratic primaries.
Other than immigration, another of the main issues during the election cycle looks to be climate change. Unlike most other countries where climate change is accepted by both parties, the issue is largely bi-partisan in the United States with Democrats generally accepting of the theory while Republicans generally against the idea. This was one of the areas where Sanders was making ground against Clinton in the Democratic nomination race and Clinton eventually co-opted a lot of Sanders’ talking points. Sanders’ success led Clinton to make promises to restrict oil drilling and fracking, and Clinton looks like she will continue to carry that platform into the general election.
Clinton also received a strong push from Sanders for a stronger stance on income inequality and this should be a message she continues against billionaire Donald Trump. Clinton has largely been painted as beholden to corporate interests and that was something that threatened to undermine her in the general election. Having Trump as an opponent, instead of one of the other Republican candidates, means she isn’t on as shaky of ground while making this a platform, but it doesn’t ring as true as it would have with Sanders either.
PROGNOSTICATION
It’s still to be decided how this will all play out come November, but money has been shifting towards Clinton over the last few weeks as Trump continues to get hammered in the press. Trump hasn’t shown that he will be able to appeal to any other demographic groups, so his hope is to get as much support from white voters as possible. He will need to win a large majority of these votes if he hopes to win and so far he is woefully short, not even is he approaching the numbers that Romney won the white demographic by in 2012. Trump needs to either perform much better in this demographic, or find a way to appeal to a new group. Otherwise he risks getting trounced by Clinton on Election Day.
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