Things are looking up for Donald Trump. He has had his best week of polling since the Republican National Convention and there is a feeling among his campaign that he might be able to pull this election off. His latest campaign shake-up seems to have worked, for now at least, and he is finally trying to reach out to minority voters. Can Trump rally and pull off the biggest upset in American political history or is this the last roar from his campaign?
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To Win the Presidency
Hillary Clinton -400
Donald Trump +325
CAMPAIGN SHAKE-UP
Two weeks ago, Trump replaced his campaign chief for the second time this election. Following a New York Times’ story that exposed some of the murky dealings between Paul Manafort and Russia while he was helping prop up the puppet government in the Ukraine, Trump had to let go of his second campaign chair. Manafort had helped Trump’s campaign trod further down a renegade path, so replacing him was a wise decision, but we’ll have to see whether his replacement makes sense or not.
Manafort was replaced by Stephen Bannon, former executive chairman of alt-right website Breitbart. Breitbart has been accused of being the business face of white nationalism in America and published plenty of questionable pieces during his tenure.
From calling a conservative analyst a ‘Renegade Jew’, to claiming that women don’t get hired because they aren’t good at interviews, and espousing a ludicrous theory that Hillary Clinton aide Huma Abedin is a spy, Breitbart has run a lot of disturbing stories. Bannon seems to be doing well in the first few weeks, but traditionally losing candidates experience an uptick in support when shaking things up.
APPEAL TO MINORITY VOTERS
Perhaps the biggest surprise of the last few months is that Trump is finally trying, half-handedly, to reach out to non-white voters. Trump has been getting killed among this demographic for some time now and his controversial statements and policies have further put him in the hole with groups that traditionally don’t support the Republican Party.
His methods to pick up this support have been much like Trump’s campaign, extremely unorthodox. Trump has asked, “What do you have to lose?”, referring to African Americans he believes have been ignored by Clinton and has made some vague appeals to Hispanics as well.
Trump has to cut into Clinton’s huge lead among minorities. As the electorate becomes more diverse and less white over time, Trump and other Republicans cannot just simply rely on winning the white vote in order to win elections. If he doesn’t cut into this gap, he has very little chance to become the next POTUS.
IMMIGRATION POLICY?
The most publicized bit of news this week is Trump’s meeting with Mexican president Enrique Pena Nieto. The two met on Wednesday to discuss Trump’s stance on building a wall along the Mexican border and other policy issues. The idea of the wall took center stage though and it was the crux of Trump’s speech in Phoenix on Wednesday night.
Trump had been vague about his immigration policy in the days leading up to his speech, but he stood firm with his earlier proposals when push came to shove. He insisted that a wall would be built along the border with Mexico, that Mexico will pay for its construction, and that there will be no amnesty given to illegal immigrants already in the United States.
There was immediate backlash as Pena Nieto claimed that Trump said the United States would pay for the wall in their meeting. The Trump campaign rejected this claim though and also wounded its appeal to Hispanic voters.
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