“The Revenant” topped all films with 12 nominations, including best picture, setting up best director nominee Alejandro Iñárritu for a potential repeat of last year’s “Birdman” success.
Most agree that Leonardo DiCaprio is a veritable shoo-in for the Best Actor win, and I am hard-pressed to disagree. He's been scooping up trophies along the way, including the Golden Globe last month. He's got extremely favorable odds posted here at BookMaker.eu too; his -4750 suggests not much of a pay-off unless your bet is significant.
Matt Damon, also nominated, and who also snapped up a Golden Globe, stands the remotest of chances, but unfortunately he's divided in the outfield. His +2050 odds are split between the rest of the nominees, and while that pay-off would be huge, don't bet on it. Literally.
Another category where there sure seems to be some certainty is the Best Supporting Actor category. Sylvester Stallone's got momentum on his side, much like his beloved creation Rocky did in at least half of his movies. This technically isn't a Rocky movie, however, and even though "Creed" star Michael B. Jordan didn't get a nod, it looks good for Rock. His odds of winning, here at BookMaker are a phenomenally strong -285. This is versus the straight bet that Stallone won't win, which boasts odds or +500.
Best Picture is one of the more interesting - if not competitive - categories. Could "The Revenant" win it? Sure. But so could "Spotlight."
The odds are in favor of "The Revenant." A solid -162 on the lederboard, with "Spotlight" at +230. This is probably the category where the real money is. I would put mine on "Spotlight," and the payout here is sweet.
Best Supporting Actress could provide a spoiler too. With "The Danish Girl" star Alicia Vikander (incidentally, the saving grace of 2015's big screen "Man From U.N.C.L.E" adaptation) coming in at -220 you'd think she was a lock. Don't. Mara could easily cause an upset here, especially in a film ("Carol") that the Academy will be looking to celebrate. Mara's +425 odds make for another strong payout. But, Kate Winslet - Academy darling that she is - is the lone "Steve Jobs" trophy (in the major categories) potentially. At +430 she, too, can make you some money.
The odds would also lead you to believe that Alejandro Inarritu is also a lock for Best Director. But I'm not so sure. With -600 odds, and the remainder of the field split at +450, it sure is worth looking at the pool that is the rest. especially with the film "Spotlight" doing such a good job of sweeping awards ceremonies this season.
Truly, the only lock besides Leo at this year's Oscars is in the Best Original Score category. Despite director Quentin Tarantino's bumbling acceptance speech on his composer's behalf at the Golden Globes, "The Hateful Eight" is a shoo-in here, with -575 odds. The competition is neck-and-neck with +425 odds, but "Eight" has heat on its side, would be one of only two major awards the film has a serious shot at winning (the other being screenplay for Tarantino himself), and the age of the composer (late 80's) plus the fact that he's never won an Oscar before.
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