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Even so, Notre Dame is ranked higher at No. 9 and has only lost one game itself. The Fighting Irish is the home team in this matchup and will be the favorite. Both teams are angling for the College Football Playoff and the loser may be eliminated from contention while the winner will be setting themselves up nicely for the stretch run.
This is a game with huge implications and North Carolina State would love to keep bucking the odds with an upset win in South Bend.
This contest in Week 9 of the regular season will go down Saturday, October 28, 2017, at 3:30 p.m. ET at Notre Dame Stadium.
College Football Odds at BookMaker.eu
North Carolina State +6.5
Notre Dame -6.5
Over/Under 58
Odds Analysis
Notre Dame is a solid home favorite. The half-point is a big deal because if the Fighting Irish wins by a touchdown it will result in a cover. About 60 percent of the early money is on Notre Dame to cover this spread.
Both of these offenses are explosive and the scoring total reflects that as it is high. The bettors think it’s too high as more than 82 percent of the money is coming in on the “under.”
North Carolina State is a +207 underdog in this contest, while Notre Dame is listed at -250 on the moneyline.
Key Stat
35. That was the margin of victory by Notre Dame in its last game against USC, cruising to the 49-14 win. It was a big-time statement as the Fighting Irish has announced themselves as legitimate national championship contenders.
Notre Dame led by 28 points at the half and cruised to the victory. It was the rushing game that dominated, as Josh Adams had 19 carries for 191 yards and three touchdowns to lead the way.
Notre Dame’s defense did a nice job against Trojans’ star quarterback Sam Darnold. He threw for only 229 yards on 28 attempts with a pair of touchdowns and an interception. The Fighting Irish is only allowing 16.4 points per game this season after holding down USC’s potent offense.
Matchup To Watch
Notre Dame rushing attack vs. the North Carolina State defense -- The Fighting Irish can control this game like it did against USC with another dominant rushing display. Adams leads the way this season with 105 carries for 967 yards and eight touchdowns and Notre Dame averages an astounding 317.9 rushing yards per game on the season.
North Carolina State is allowing only 91.3 rushing yards per game, so something is going to have to give. The Wolfpack has a talented quarterback in Ryan Finley and if the defense can hold up it would allow the offense to go to work in order to try to pull off the upset.
North Carolina State is going to stack the box, but so too have the teams before them and no one has been able to stop the Notre Dame rushing attack.
Free ATS Pick
North Carolina State is no fluke. It has already beaten ranked teams Florida State and Syracuse this season and is taking aim at an upset of Notre Dame. The location is tough as playing in front of a raucous crowd won’t be easy.
This game is going to be uncomfortable for the Fighting Irish throughout but they will be able to pull out a narrow victory. North Carolina State is the easy choice to cover as this one may come down to a late field goal.
College Football Odds: Notre Dame 30, North Carolina State 27
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