College Football ATS Picks - Texas Longhorns At West Virginia Mountaineers

Texas-at-West-Virginia

The Oklahoma Sooners may be the favorites to win the Big 12, but the West Virginia Mountaineers are hanging around in the conference race. West Virginia needs to win out and get some help to finish atop the standings, and will aim to do its part in Week 13 by beating the Texas Longhorns.

West Virginia has won five of its seven games in conference and is 7-3 overall. Texas has had another tough season with only a 5-5 record and a 4-3 record in the Big 12. While West Virginia has the superior record and the home field advantage, the spread is not very large as the oddsmakers believe this could be a competitive showdown.

Watch this regular season Week 13 matchup live on Saturday, November 18, 2017, at 12 p.m. ET at Milan Puskar Stadium.

College Football Odds at BookMaker.eu
Texas +3
West Virginia -3
Over/Under 53

Odds Analysis

The oddsmakers believe the talent level on these two teams is even, with West Virginia getting the slight nod because of the home field advantage. The Mountaineers are getting the majority of the support from bettors, as more than 67 percent of the action is on them to cover the spread.

The moneyline posits West Virginia as the -150 favorite, while Texas is the +130 underdog on the moneyline. This is where a lot of the money on Texas has headed, as an upset pays out decently.

The scoring total has been pegged as too low as more than 63 percent of the action is on the “over” to be the right call in this one.

Player To Watch

Gary Jennings -- The West Virginia wide receiver has put together an ultra-impressive season to date. He has hauled in 82 catches for 938 yards and a touchdown.

Jennings is a big-play threat that Texas must keep in check. Jennings was very good last time out. He had 13 receptions for 115 yards last time out in a 28-23 win over Kansas State. His most dominant game of the season came in the opener when he had 13 catches for 89 yards and a score.

Texas is giving up 252 yards per game through the air and if Jennings has a big game, it will be a big boost for the Mountaineers.

Key Stat

4. That’s how many losses, of their five, in which the Longhorns were within ten points at the final buzzer. They were defeated by Maryland, 51-41, in the season opener, lost to USC by three points, Oklahoma by five and Oklahoma State by three.

The Trojans, Sooners and Cowboys were all ranked in the top-12 in those games, so the Longhorns have been a bit unlucky this season. That’s why they aren’t huge underdogs despite the location and the record of the teams involved.

Free ATS Pick

Texas lost by 17 points to TCU two games ago but bounced back last time out. West Virginia has won two straight, including a victory over ranked Iowa State. Both teams have had some solid moments this season.

The Mountaineers have been more consistent, but don’t sleep on the Longhorns in this game. Texas has a better team than its record would suggest. The game is tough because is is on the road, but the Longhorns are the choice to pull the upset.

West Virginia’s offense has been explosive this year, but Texas has enough talent on defense to make some big plays and keep this game lower-scoring. The Longhorns are an easy choice on the spread and look good on the moneyline.

The “under” is the pick on the scoring total. West Virginia is hoping to stick around in the conference race but Texas will end their shot at the Big 12 title with an upset win.

College Football Odds: Texas 27, West Virginia 24

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