The LSU Tigers were once the No. 2 team in America, but they've since lost twice and have really fallen off the radar in a hurry. If they want to make a New Year's Six game, they had better figure out how to go on the road and beat the Ole Miss Rebels, something which certainly won't be easy knowing that Hugh Freeze's team has gotten its act together.
College Football Odds at BookMaker.eu
LSU Tigers +4.5
Ole Miss Rebels -4.5
Over/Under 59.5
ODDS ANALYSIS
It's a bit surprising that the total in this game is so darn high with the way the LSU offense has struggled of late. The number to beat started at 59.5 and has come down three full points in just 24 hours.
Ole Miss probably wouldn't have been favored in this game had it been played two weeks ago, but considering how bad LSU was on the road in Tuscaloosa, the same venue in which the Rebels walked out with a convincing victory, it's easy to see how this script has flipped.
WHEN THE LSU TIGERS HAVE THE BALL
Leonard Fournette was the runaway Heisman Trophy winner until two weeks ago. Since then, he has just 122 total yards and two scores on 38 carries in losses to the Tide and the Razorbacks, something you just didn't see out of him early in the season. Holding Fournette under 100 yards used to be impossible, and a good game was one in which he didn't get to 200 yards.
Defenses though, are wising up to the Bayou Bengals. It's almost as if Brandon Harris is being dared to try to make plays, and he just isn't answering the bell. Harris has 11 TDs against two picks, but don't let those numbers fool you. His completion percentage is low at 56.0 percent, and he never has been and never will be the man who can throw for 300 yards and four touchdowns in a game.
The Ole Miss defense has had some holes, but if this game gets to be a track meet, it's a real edge to the Rebs in live betting.
WHEN THE OLE MISS REBELS HAVE THE BALL
Ole Miss might've lost its last NCAAF game against Arkansas, but it's tough to blame the offense, one which put up 52 points.
Chad Kelly though, is starting to get a wee pick happy. He has 12 already this year, albeit on 361 pass attempts. His 3,224 passing yards and 23 TDs are All-SEC caliber, but those interception are really holding both he and his teammates back.
Laquon Treadwell has been a beast all year long for Ole Miss, and he's going to be the key for LSU to stop. The Bayou Bengals will be hard pressed to totally stop this offense at the pace it plays at, but taking Treadwell out of the equation would go a long way towards helping that.
That's a lot easier said than done, though. Freeze is lining Treadwell out wide by himself a ton right now, and he's sending out receivers to the opposite side of the field to more or less setup one-on-one coverage. The end result? 68 catches, 1,002 yards and seven TDs in 10 games, including five straight 100+ yard performances.
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