The Michigan Wolverines might have two losses, but one has to think if they can win their last two games of the season and win the Big Ten by beating Iowa, they'll have made a legit claim to stick around in the College Football Playoff. The game in Happy Valley won't be easy against the Penn State Nittany Lions, who have quietly been a dominant team here at home in 2015.
College Football Odds at BookMaker.eu
Michigan Wolverines -5.5
Penn State Nittany Lions +5.5
Over/Under 42.5
ODDS ANALYSIS
It's clear that Penn State is a sharp team in this one. The betting action is split right down the middle in the first 48 hours of lines being open, but this line has already moved down from Michigan -5.5 to Michigan -3.5, and further dropping could take place.
The total has held firm, but it's understandably really low at 42.5. It's entirely possible that we see a trudge in this game the whole way through, particularly in these defenses live up to their potential.
WHEN THE MICHIGAN WOLVERINES HAVE THE BALL
Jake Rudock really only has three weapons which he uses in the passing game whatsoever, and that could be a big problem against one of the top pass defenses in college football.
The Nittany Lions are allowing teams to put up just 159.0 passing yards per game and 5.6 yards per pass attempt, which is going to put Big Blue into a position where it has to run the ball to try to score.
It's if Michigan gets behind that there are some real problems. Rudock already proved to us against Utah in Week 1 that getting down a couple scores can be devastating, and unless Jake Butt really has himself a big time afternoon, the air game should be grounded. As a result, scores will be lower for live betting, and PSU will most certainly be a live underdog.
WHEN THE PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS HAVE THE BALL
There's not a lot to hate about Penn State right now. Sure, the schedule hasn't been tough at home, but teams have gotten pummeled in this building, especially from a physical standpoint.
Christian Hackenberg runs a pro-style offense, and he throws the ball like a legitimate NFL quarterback as well. He's got a superstar on the outside in Chris Godwin, a man who can stretch the field in a hurry.
Saquan Barley is on the verge of 1,000 rushing yards this NCAAF season as well.
However, live bettors really need to question just how good this PSU offense is. Sure, the team has put up a lot of good individual numbers, but the end result is just 25.2 points per game, 11.3 of which are coming in second halves.
The Michigan defense has been crazy this year, though things have slowed down a little bit since Michigan State shocked the world at the Big House on the muffed punt which was returned for a touchdown.
The Wolverines play the field position game a lot, and though that really has more to do with the offense than the defense, the end result sees teams facing a lot of long fields. It's hard to score from 70 yards away from the end zone on Michigan let alone 90. Live bettors will have to be prepared for some long drives as a result.
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