The Auburn Tigers have lost to a pair of ranked teams this season and have more tough games coming up in the second half of the season. The Tigers are 3-2 on the year and must take advantage of a winnable game in a Week 6 matchup against the Mississippi State Bulldogs.
The Bulldogs, fresh off a bye week, are 2-2 on the season and will looking for an upset against this familiar conference foe. Mississippi State is at home and has played some decent ball at times this year, so the contest is intriguing.
This matchup in Week 6 of the regular season will take place on Saturday, October 8, 2016, at 7 p.m. ET at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.
College Football Odds at BookMaker.eu
Auburn -3
Mississippi State +3
Over/Under 53.5
Odds Analysis
The Tigers have moved up to field goal favorites and the betting public is still in their corner. Auburn is taking 84 percent of the betting action to cover.
The “under” is currently getting 57 percent of the action on the over/under.
Revenge Angle
The Auburn Tigers have the edge in this matchup historically, but Mississippi State has been the better team in recent years. The Bulldogs have won three of the last four meetings between these two teams including the last two in a row.
Mississippi State will also have the advantage of home field this year. The Tigers lead the Bulldogs 61-26-2 all-time in this matchup and as the favorites this year, will be looking to get back on top.
Auburn has historically been the better program and should be able to get back on top with a road win.
Key Stat
488.6. That’s how many total yards Auburn is averaging each game behind its spectacular rushing game. Sophomore Kerryon Johnson is the workhorse on the ground for the Tigers with 102 carries for 517 yards and six touchdowns in five games.
Kamryn Pettway joins Johnson in the backfield for the Tigers and has racked up 336 yards on 52 carries in five games. He is averaging 6.5 yards a carry.
Quarterback Sean White has thrown for 983 yards with five touchdowns and an interception. This high-powered offensive unit will be a big test for the Bulldogs who have held opponents to 23.3 points a game so far.
Free ATS Pick
Auburn is 3-2 on the season, with both losses coming to nationally ranked teams. The Tigers fell to No. 2 Clemson in Week 1 and also lost to a rising Texas A&M team in Week 3.
Auburn has gone 2-0 since that loss to the Aggies, including an 18-13 win over LSU two weeks ago. LSU threw a touchdown pass with no time on the clock, but the snap wasn’t made in time, giving Auburn a wild win that cost Les Miles his job.
The team will look for its third straight win this week before gearing up for two ensuing tough games in Arkansas and Ole Miss.
Mississippi State comes into this matchup off a bye. The team got back in the winning column two weeks ago against UMass after falling to LSU by a field goal in Week 3. Mississippi State has a strong running game which averages 219.5 yards per game, and that will need to be out in full force.
The Bulldogs have looked good at times but this one will be tough, even with the home field advantage. Auburn should have do just enough to pull out a thriller and try to make a push back toward the national rankings.
The “over” is the better call as there could be several big plays that result in a big momentum swing back and forth in this one.
College Football Odds: Auburn 33, Mississippi State 31
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