The Dallas Cowboys have yet to lose a game this season that Tony Romo both started and finished. They've also not won a game in which he didn't play either. After suffering a second collarbone injury this year, Romo is back on the shelf, a ding which effectively has ended Dallas' season.
A win on the road against the Washington Redskins would at least put the NFC East back on the radar, but even then, it's unlikely that Big D can finish the job.
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The big question on Monday Night Football this week could be how Matt Cassel plays. He'll be matched up with Kirk Cousins in our fantasy matchups, and for once, this really seems like a situation in which Cousins has the real edge, something you don't get to say every day.
We'll start with Cassel, a man who actually leads the Cowboys in passing in spite of the fact that he's only been on the team for about half the season and has played in just five games. This will be his fifth start, and he'll be looking for just his second game with more than one touchdown pass.
Cassel's best outing came against the Eagles in Week 9. He went 25-of-38 for 299 yards with three TDs and a pick. He fantasy output that day was 29.6 points. For the rest of the year combined, he only has a total of 36.4 fantasy points, and that covers essentially three and a quarter games.
The Eagles have one of the worst secondaries in the league this year, so it shouldn't be surprising that even Cassel was able to succeed. He has a total of just two touchdowns on 103 passing attempts aside from that Philly game, something which severely limits his upside. One would figure that the ceiling for Cassel is around 15 fantasy points, and even that would be pushing it.
Cousins meanwhile, has kept the starting job in Washington all season long, and short of a trick play where Jamison Crowder threw the ball, he's the only man to throw a pass this year. Are the stats great for Cousins? Not really. Sure, he's completed 68.4 percent of his passes, but the game plans have been relatively basic. Throwing for 16 touchdowns against 10 picks is nothing special, and he clearly isn't getting anything done with his legs either.
However, for fantasy purposes, the numbers aren't atrocious, and they should be good enough to beat a man like Cassel. Cousins has averaged 20.1 fantasy points per game this year. Again, it isn't great, but if we knew right now that he'd get to 20 in this one, we'd take our chances in a heartbeat.
If there's one bit of hesitation we have with the bet on Cousins, it's that the Dallas defense hasn't conceded a heck of a lot lately. Two straight quarterbacks have failed to reach 200 yards against this unit, and only one, Drew Brees, has thrown for 300+ yards. No quarterback has thrown more than two TDs against the Cowboys either.
Still, we just don't think that it matters all that much. The Cowboys look like they're toast. Cassel is likely to have a miserable time moving the ball against a defense which is far superior to defending the pass than the run, and that's going to put the ball in the hands of Darren McFadden far more than in any of the Dallas wide receivers.
Even if Cousins has just one TD pass, that might be enough to cover this fantasy spread against Cassel.
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