NFL ATS Picks - Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers Game Preview

Bears-at-Packers-(CBS)

It was a grind last time out for Green Bay, but quarterback Aaron Rodgers orchestrated a late-game drive to force overtime and Mason Crosby knocked through the game-winning field goal in overtime. The Packers will aim for an easy win in this one at home, while the Bears would love to retain their role as the plucky underdog.

Watch this regular season Week 4 matchup live on Thursday, September 28, 2017, at 8:25 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field.

Opening NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu
Chicago Bears +7.5
Green Bay Packers -7.5
Over/Under 45.5

Odds Analysis

Chicago is more than a touchdown underdog, and after Week 3’s win over Pittsburgh, the public believes in its ability to keep this one close. More than 54 percent of the early action is on the Bears to cover this spread. The half-point above a touchdown is key, as many games end with a seven-point margin.

The scoring total is about middle of the road for an NFL game, and the “under” is the more popular choice. The Packers’ offense struggled for much of the day against the Bengals last time out, but they still have one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL in Aaron Rodgers.

Injury Report

Randall Cobb -- The Packers’ wide receiver injured his chest and missed the Week 3 game against Cincinnati. Geronimo Allison did a nice job filling in, coming up with a huge catch in overtime to set up the game-winning kick, but Green Bay hopes to get its star slot receiver back.

David Bakhtiari -- Green Bay was without its starting left tackle as well in Week 3. Rodgers was pressured throughout the contest, as the Packers are banged up on their offensive line. The Bears don’t have a great pass rush but may be able to wreak havoc if Bakhtiari is again out for this one.

Mike Daniels -- The Packers were missing a key player on defense as well in Week 3 as the star defensive tackle sat. The Packers are dealing with an assortment of injuries which could affect the outcome of this game.

Matchup to Watch

Bears running game vs. Packers defense -- Green Bay has a gigantic advantage at quarterback as Rodgers is a star and Mike Glennon is one of the worst starters in the league. Chicago can stay in this game if its running game does as well as it did last time out in the upset of the Steelers.

Running back Jordan Howard had 23 carries for 138 yards and two touchdowns while rookie Tarik Cohen added 12 carries for 78 yards. Despite the fact that Glennon threw for only 101 yards on 22 attempts, Chicago was able to come away with the victory.

The Packers don’t have a particularly strong rush defense, so this is an area of the game that Chicago must dominate in order to win this matchup.

Free ATS Pick

The Bears have played well in two home games but struggled badly on the road in Week 2. Green Bay had a home game on Sunday and gets to stay there for this midweek showdown. The Packers are missing a lot of key players, but the presence of Rodgers is all that matters.

Green Bay should cruise to this win as the Bears figure to fall behind and don’t have the requisite aerial attack to rally. Choose the Packers to cover this spread.

NFL Odds: Packers 28, Bears 17

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