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The Colts got their first win last week over the Browns but are still without star quarterback Andrew Luck. The Seahawks are at home and many are expecting a dominant showing as the Colts are a big-time underdog. However, if Seattle continues to play how it has in the first few weeks, it will struggle to cover this spread, even if a win is in the cards.
Watch this regular season Week 4 matchup live on Saturday, October 1, 2017, at 8:30 p.m. ET at CenturyLink Field.
Opening NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu
Indianapolis Colts +13
Seattle Seahawks -13
Over/Under 41
Odds Analysis
The Seahawks are strong home favorites, but the bettors believe the spread is too high, as 62 percent of the action is on the Colts to cover. The scoring total is low as Indianapolis is using a backup signal-caller while Seattle has had a lot of trouble scoring this year, but the “over” is the more popular pick.
The Seahawks are a heavy -1000 favorite on the moneyline, while the Colts are the +664 underdogs. It’s hard to see Indy winning this game, but if it happens, this is a really nice payout.
Injury Report
Andrew Luck -- The Colts quarterback has not yet returned to practice after offseason shoulder surgery and will not play in this game. Indianapolis still would have been an underdog with their star under center, but now the odds are much longer. Jacoby Brissett has been solid in his place, but going on the road against a strong defense is not an easy matchup.
Ryan Kelly -- Indianapolis’ standout center has been sidelined this season with a foot injury, but was practicing in a limited capacity on Wednesday, so his status is worth watching. In addition to Luck, the Colts have been missing other key players, and getting back Kelly soon would be a nice boost.
Doug Baldwin -- The Seahawks’ star receiver has a groin injury and is considered day-to-day. He had 10 catches for 105 yards and a touchdown last week in a loss to the Titans, and his presence is important considering all the hiccups Seattle has dealt with on offense thus far this year.
Player to Watch
Jimmy Graham -- The Seahawks’ offense has thus far gone the same way as its star tight end. Graham was not involved at all in the first two games of the year, catching just four total passes for a measly nine yards.
He suffered an ankle ailment to add injury to ailment, but was able to play last time out and was much better, hauling in seven passes for 72 yards. The Seahawks lost to the Titans in Week 3, but the offense did score 27 points after totaling just 21 points in the first two contests.
The Colts’ defense is suspect, and Graham could be in line for a big game in this one.
Free ATS Pick
Luck isn’t back yet, but Brissett has been a capable fill-in. He should be able to keep the Colts close enough as long as the defense doesn’t completely fold. The Seahawks are due for an easy win, but the offensive line is a mess and the spread is too big with all of the lingering issues.
Indianapolis will make this one uncomfortable for much of the game before Seattle finally pulls away late, but the Colts are the choice to cover. The “over” is the choice as there will be some big plays which lead to scores.
NFL Odds: Seahawks 26, Colts 17
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