There will be a lot of focus on the point spread in the Super Bowl, as the New England Patriots are entering the game as solid favorites to win yet another championship over the Philadelphia Eagles. However, seeing as this is the biggest game of the year, there are also a host of prop bets that should pique the interest of bettors.
One of the more intriguing additional bets centers on the point total that is expected for the Patriots. They once again have one of the NFL’s best offenses, led by star quarterback Tom Brady.
New England was slowed down some by the Jaguars last week and the Eagles hope two weeks of preparation will give them a chance to slow down this vaunted Patriots passing attack. Take a close eye at the point total for New England as it is a prop bet that could be a nice payout if chosen correctly.
The Super Bowl will take place on Sunday, February 4, 2018, at 6:30 p.m. ET at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Opening NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu
New England Patriots
Over/Under 26.5
Odds Analysis
New England’s total points has been set at 26.5 in this game. The “over” is currently the more popular choice, and the vig is currently set at -119. The “under” can be wagered on at -111 as the oddsmakers try to get some action back on the lower choice.
Key Stat
28.6. That’s the average number of points the Patriots scored in the regular season, which was the second-best mark in the NFL. New England has long been one of the most explosive teams in the league with Brady leading the way and he has put together yet another season that is expected to end in him picking up an MVP award.
The Eagles do have a really good defense that has held the explosive Falcons and the Vikings in check in the playoffs. Philadelphia was the underdog in both of those games because it doesn’t have the services of star quarterback Carson Wentz, but the defense has done its job.
The unit is led by the strong defensive line, which includes star Fletcher Cox. The formula has always been to get after Brady, and if the Eagles get pressure the Patriots could struggle to reach the point total.
New England was shut down for much of the game last time out against the Jaguars but found a groove late. Danny Amendola played a big role and had the game-winning touchdown reception.
The Patriots lost a huge piece of their offense last time out when Rob Gronkowski left the AFC Championship game due to a concussion. He is the most talented tight end in football and his status could help sway bettors’ thoughts on this prop. Keep an eye closely on his availability.
Concussions are tough to diagnose and it is unknown if he will be able to play in the Super Bowl, but there may be some clarity later this week or early next week.
Free ATS Pick
Nobody is questioning the Patriots’ ability to score points, but this scoring total leaves reason to believe the “under” is the right choice. The Eagles have one of the best defenses in the NFL and have flexed their muscle in recent playoff outings.
Philadelphia has backup quarterback Nick Foles under center, which could keep its scoring down. If that is the case and the Patriots jump out to a big lead, they could take their foot off the gas late.
The choice here is the “under” as New England won’t need to score a lot in the fourth quarter to rack up another Super Bowl title. The odds may continue to improve for that side of the total, so use patience and it could result in a better payout.
NFL Odds: Patriots 24, Eagles 16
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