Antonio Brown has been one of the consensus top two wide receivers in the NFL the past few seasons alongside Julio Jones. Brown has been one of the most prolific pass-catchers in that span and has been extremely productive.
He is expected to once again be a beast for the Pittsburgh Steelers. Brown’s star status is well deserved, but with it comes high expectations. The projections for his number of total receiving yards and touchdown catches are quite lofty, but numbers he has reached before.
Will Brown come up with another special season? Those with a good grasp on his level of performance should be able to cash in on this individual player prop bet.
The 2017 NFL regular season kicks off on Thursday, September 7 with the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots taking on the Kansas City Chiefs. Super Bowl LII will be played on Sunday, February 4, 2018 at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.
NFL Prop Odds at BookMaker.eu
Antonio Brown total receiving touchdowns during 2017-18 NFL regular season
Over 11 (-115)
Under 11 (-115)
Antonio Brown total receiving yards during 2017-18 NFL regular season
Over 1,550 (-125)
Under 1,550 (-105)
Odds Analysis
In the past four years, Brown has really burst onto the scene and become a superstar. In that span, he has hovered around 11 touchdown catches per season, so the number makes sense. There has been no significant movement on either side of the total, as the odds remain at -115 for each wager.
The receiving yards are a different story. Even though Brown didn’t reach the 1,550 mark last season, the bettors are confident he is going to hit it in 2017. He would need to average nearly 100 receiving yards per game and play in each of the 16 contests, but the “over” has climbed to -125 so clearly the belief is Brown will continue to dominate. For those who are skeptical of Brown hitting such a lofty number, the time is now to get in on the wagering at -105 for the “under.”
Why Brown Will Total More Than 11 Receiving Touchdowns and 1,550 Receiving Yards In The 2017-18 Regular Season
The Steelers have one of the best offenses in the NFL with Brown, running back Le’Veon Bell and quarterback Ben Roethlisberger leading the way. Roethlisberger and Brown have long had a good chemistry and should keep it rolling.
Brown has averaged 1,578 yards per game over the past four, including an incredible 136 catches for 1,834 yards and 10 touchdowns two seasons ago. Brown is heading into his age-29 season, and is still in the midst of the prime of his career.
Pittsburgh is getting back Martavis Bryant from suspension this season, and the big-play wideout should help open up the field for Brown. While Bell and Bryant are solid offensive options, Brown will again be the go-to wide receiver through the air, especially in the red zone.
He is a master at route-running, and Roethlisberger is going to feed him early and often throughout the 2017 regular season.
Why Brown Will Total Less Than 11 Receiving Touchdowns and 1,550 Receiving Yards In The 2017-18 Regular Season
While Brown is still playing at a high level, he is starting to get older, and any small signs of slowing down could result in the “under” in these receiving numbers being the right play. He has to both dominate and stay healthy in order to hit the lofty standards once again.
Bell has missed a significant chunk of time in the last few seasons, but when he’s available the Steelers will be more apt to run the ball, which will deflate Brown’s production. Even though he’s a star, these numbers are really hard to hit for any receiver.
The smallest bump in the road will cause Brown to underperform these expectations.
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