Johnson suffered a scary knee injury in the regular season finale against the Los Angeles Rams, but luckily it was only a sprain and he is back to full strength. The Cardinals have a good offense which is led by Johnson.
He should get the ball often throughout the year and figures to put up some big-time numbers. The oddsmakers are well aware of that, and thus have put lofty projections on him to reach in a prop bet surrounding his regular season performance.
The 2017 NFL regular season kicks off on Thursday, September 7 with the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots taking on the Kansas City Chiefs. Super Bowl LII will be played on Sunday, February 4, 2018 at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.
NFL Prop Odds at BookMaker.eu
David Johnson total rushing yards during 2017-18 NFL regular season
Over 1,225 (-120)
Under 1,225 (-110)
David Johnson total rushing touchdowns during 2017-18 NFL regular season
Over 14.5 (-115)
Under 14.5 (-115)
Odds Analysis
Even though the Cardinals do like to throw the ball, there are plenty of carries for Johnson to get throughout the year. The team’s coach, Bruce Arians, wants to give him the rock 30 times per game, and while some of those will be receptions, he will still carry it often.
With that in mind, the “over” on the rushing total has been the more popular choice early on, which is why the line has moved up to -120. The touchdown total hasn’t been adjusted yet as it seems to be pretty well set.
Why Johnson Will Have More Than 1,225 Yards Rushing And 14.5 Touchdowns
Johnson took over full-time starting duties in 2016 and emerged as one of the most talented running backs in the NFL. He finished with 293 carries for 1,239 yards and 16 touchdowns on the ground.
Johnson did so despite missing nearly all of the last game of the year because of a knee injury. He likely would have finished with 1,300 or more rushing yards, and duplicating that performance seems entirely possible.
Johnson averaged 4.2 yards per carry and the Cardinals’ ability to throw as well will make it tough for opposing defenses to stack the box. Much could depend on the team’s ability to improve on its 7-8-1 record of a year ago.
If Arizona is up late in games, Johnson could rack up the carries as the team aims to burn the clock. Johnson has a ton of talent and seems to be in line for another big year. He is the primary weapon near the goal-line and had many games a season ago in which he racked up multiple scores.
Why Johnson Will Have More Than 1,225 Yards Rushing And 14.5 Touchdowns
There’s no denying Johnson’s talent, but one of his best assets his receiving ability. The Cardinals will concentrate on getting him the ball in space, and while that will lead to some big numbers for Johnson, it will come via receptions and receiving touchdowns.
The bettors who take the “over” don’t want to see that, but it’s possible Johnson does his damage equally well on the ground and by catching the ball. There is also the chance of another injury.
If he misses a couple games, it will be really hard to hit these numbers since they are so lofty. The touchdowns, especially, will be tough to hit, as plenty depends on the entire offense getting near the goal-line on a regular basis.
If the Cardinals passing game improves, it will take away Johnson’s scoring chances.
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