Watson is a solid player who is likely to command the Houston offense in years to come. However, Tom Savage is still around, and it is hard to say how quickly Watson will take over the reins of the offense this season, with oddsmakers believing this will be his team quite quickly.
The 2017 NFL regular season kicks off on Thursday, September 7 with the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots taking on the Kansas City Chiefs. Super Bowl LII will be played on Sunday, February 4, 2018 at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.
NFL Prop Odds at BookMaker.eu
Number of Deshaun Watson starts During The 2017-18 Regular Season
Over 13.5 ( +170 )
Under 13.5 ( -240 )
Odds Analysis
The sharp bettors have obviously spoken, believing the start total is listed much too high for Watson’s rookie season in the NFL. Savage seems to have the inside track on the starting job, and the team doesn’t even need to get off to an undefeated start, just a good one, for the “under” to be the correct choice.
The betting has reflected that, with the “under” jumping out to the -240 favorite. For those who believe in Watson’s ability to wrest control of the starting job, the “over” is now becoming a lucrative payout.
Why Watson Will Have More Than 13.5 Starts In The 2017-18 Regular Season
There is not a rookie quarterback better equipped to become a full-time starter in 2017. Watson has a great deal of talent and is experienced enough to take over quickly. The Texans have a solid defense and expect to be in playoff contention.
If Savage struggles early on, either in the preseason or regular season, Watson could start getting a close look. The team is good enough to survive early on simply with him as a game manager, allowing Watson to grow into the role.
Dak Prescott showed a season ago that it’s possible for rookie quarterbacks to excel. Watson is in a good situation, and after getting chosen in the first round, certainly the team will put its faith in his ability to be a star at some point. If Watson becomes the starter in the first or second game, this bet will be looking good to hit the “over.”
Why Watson Will Not Have More Than 13.5 Starts In The 2017-18 Regular Season
Even though Watson has unquestionable talent, the Texans may want to bring him along slowly. Even if that means moving him to the starting role halfway through the year, the “under” would be the correct play.
While Savage doesn’t have the same pedigree, it’s hard to understate familiarity with the playbook, which he has moreso than Watson. The Texans want to be competitive right away, and that might mean keeping the more experienced Savage under center.
It’s easy to see why this is the more popular choice. Savage will be given an early chance to succeed, and unless there is a really quick trigger, he figures to be the starter for the foreseeable future. It’s even possible Watson sits his entire rookie year, in which case this wager wouldn’t even be close to accurate.
Savage has gotten complimented by star wideout DeAndre Hopkins, which has to hold some weight. All he needs to do is hold on to the job for three starts in order for the “under” to be the correct choice, and bettors clearly believe he will do so in 2017.
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