Since veteran running back Jonathan Stewart is getting up in age, the addition of McCaffrey should pay dividends. However, it’s still to be determined just how effective he will be as a first-year player in the NFL. McCaffrey has a unique skill-set, and that was taken into consideration with the prop bet that was created to track his performance in the 2017 regular season.
The 2017 NFL regular season kicks off on Thursday, September 7 with the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots taking on the Kansas City Chiefs. Super Bowl LII will be played on Sunday, February 4, 2018 at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.
NFL Prop Odds at BookMaker.eu
Number of Christian McCaffrey Rushing/Receiving Yards During The 2017-18 Regular Season
Over 1000.5 ( -140 )
Under 1000.5 ( +110 )
Number of Christian McCaffrey Rushing/Receiving Touchdowns During The 2017-18 Regular Season
Over 7 ( -115 )
Under 7 ( -115 )
Odds Analysis
There hasn’t much discrepancy on the touchdown total, as the odds of stayed the same for both the “over” and the “under” since the unveiling of this prop bet. The same cannot be said for the rushing/receiving yardage total.
The “over” has been the more popular pick and the odds on it have now increased to -140. The “under” is now the underdog with the odds paying off at +110. Those figures could continue to slide as McCaffrey’s ability to both run and catch the ball makes the “over” the more likely result.
Why McCaffrey Will Have More Than 1,000.5 Rushing/Receiving Yards and 7 Rushing/Receiving TDs In The 2017-18 Regular Season
When someone is chosen in the top-10 in the draft, they are expected to come in and contribute right away. That will be the feeling with McCaffrey, and he has such a different skill-set than Stewart that he should have a significant role both in the backfield and in the slot.
The NFL game is evolving, with running backs now much more involved in the passing game. McCaffrey needs to average in the neighborhood of 63 rushing/receiving yards per game to surpass 1,000 total on the season, which is certainly doable.
McCaffrey had 2,664 yards from scrimmage in 14 games in his sophomore year of college and then 1,913 in 11 games as a junior, so he clearly knows how to produce. He is a big-play threat, and often those players can make enough moves to get in the end zone a number of times.
If McCaffrey becomes a favorite target of Newton in the red zone, he could clear the total of seven rushing/receiving touchdowns.
Why McCaffrey Will Not Have More Than 1,000.5 Rushing/Receiving Yards and 7 Rushing/Receiving TDs In The 2017-18 Regular Season
It’s easy to see why seven total touchdowns won’t be easy. Newton does a lot of work himself near the goal-line, running the ball in when close enough. Furthermore, Stewart could get a lot of those carries in close because he is a bigger running back than McCaffrey.
If McCaffrey doesn’t get a lot of touches, the scoring figure will be hard to reach. Stewart’s presence also makes it tough to know how many rushing attempts McCaffrey will get. It’s possible the Panthers prefer to bring him along slowly, which will keep his rushing yardage down.
McCaffrey is an option in the passing game, but Newton often likes to take vertical shots, and dumping it off to McCaffrey will be an adjustment. It’s not a given that that 1,000.5 rushing and receiving yardage will be cleared because McCaffrey’s role in the offense is unknown.
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