San Francisco’s Blaine Gabbert tries to win a second straight start and help the 49ers send the Seahawks to their first three-game home losing streak in seven years.
But the way Seattle has dominated the series recently, that’s not likely to happen. Seattle has won the last three regular season meetings surrendering a total of 13 points.
NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu
Seattle Seahawks -11.5
San Francisco 49ers +11.5
Over/Under 41.5
ODDS ANALYSIS
Seattle has owned the series lately and the Niners are brutal on the road. The result: the line wagered to Seattle -13. It’s a lofty spread, the largest of Week 11 on the board at BookMaker, but still reachable for the Seahawks, who are 9-0 ATS in their last nine with San Francisco. The teams have surpassed the current total of 39 just once in the past six meetings when they combined to score 40 in the 2014 NFC Championship.
KEY INJURIES
Anquan Boldin – Not that the Niners passing game was anything special with him in the lineup, it will suffer at least another week if the team leader in receptions is unable to go with a hamstring issue. Quinton Patton and Jerome Simpson have stepped into Boldin’s role while he’s out.
Bruce Irvin – Is expected to miss at least two weeks after suffering a sprained MCL in his right knee last week. One of Seattle’s most versatile defenders, he plays linebacker in the team’s base defense and moves to end as a rusher in nickel packages. Mike Morgan will replace Irvin at linebacker while Cassius Marsh and Frank Clark will rush the passer.
KEY MISMATCH
The Niners have had little or no running game without Carlos Hyde and the team’s leading rusher is likely to miss another game with a stress fracture in his foot. Hyde played in the Week 7 loss to Seattle, but was generally ineffective, rushing for just 40 yards on 11 carries. He hasn’t played or practiced since. San Francisco ran for 171 yards on 59 carries in games against St. Louis and Atlanta before the bye, employing five different running backs. They signed former Saint Travaris Cadet off the scrap heap and he’s likely to get some snaps along with Shaun Draughn and Kendall Gaskins. The Niners average 104.7 yards per game on the ground, but that number has steadily decreased with Hyde not playing and Reggie Bush a non-factor in the offense before landing on injured reserve with a bum knee. The lack of a running game will put more pressure on Gabbert, and while he had a decent game against Atlanta in his first start, things will be much different on the road against the Seahawks.
KEY STAT
14.0 – San Francisco’s points per game average. The Niners are last in the league in scoring and face Seattle’s seventh-ranked scoring defense.
BETTING ANGLE
Seattle’s margin for error is all but gone following last week’s loss to Arizona left the Seahawks with a 4-5 record. It puts them in a position where they can’t afford to lose much more ground and still have a chance at making the postseason. More than likely, Seattle will be fighting for a wild card spot the rest of the season. With where the Seahawks currently sit, they realistically can’t afford more than one loss the rest of the way to have any chance of playing into January. They have a good chance of getting back to .500, which could be a starting point for a late season push. The Seahawks have had their way with the 49ers recently and should be able to get back in the win column this week. Seattle shut SF down in their earlier meeting and has allowed just one touchdown in the last 13 quarters to the Niners.
ANALYSIS AND ODDS PREDICTION
A win over Atlanta before their bye gave the Niners a positive vibe and also earned Gabbert, who looked poised and confident, another start in place of Colin Kaepernick. But the Niners have been scary on the road this football season, losing all four games while getting blown out in three. It’s obvious the Seahawks aren’t close to the team that won the NFC the past two seasons, but they have cleaned up against lesser competition and that includes a dominating effort in Santa Clara in Week 7. Seattle will face a team with no running game and a quarterback with a 6-22 lifetime record as a starter. If that doesn’t smell of domination, I’m not sure what does. Marshawn Lynch had his best game of the season against the Niners and expect him to get plenty of opportunities to duplicate that performance. He missed some practice time this week with an abdominal injury, but that just allowed him to rest up. The matchup has lost some of its appeal with SF stinking this year, but there remains a strong dislike. And while the Niners are down, the Seahawks will deliver more blows in a convincing win.
Seattle 24, San Francisco 9
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