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And down the stretch we come! The playoff picture in the NFL continues to take shape with each passing week, and there are several teams that are officially in do-or-die mode. The line movement has been indicative of the teams which have the most to play for, something that is easy able to be demonstrated by just looking at the trends being developed.
Note: All current NFL odds listed as of Thursday morning. Check up-to-the-minute odds at BookMaker.eu.
Jets vs. Cowboys, Saturday 8:25 p.m. ET
Opening NFL Odds: Over/Under 43
Current NFL Odds: Over/Under 41.5
The Jets and Cowboys both really have the same game plan on a weekly basis. They want to pound the ball with their powerful backs, and they want to use the run to setup the pass to their big play receivers. Of course, Dallas has struggled mightily on offense every step of the way this year without Tony Romo, and this week won't be an exception to that. However, there's still a sentiment that the Cowboys are modestly sharp in a game they have to win, so a dropping total makes sense. The only way Dallas is winning this game is if the total stays in the 30s, so this decrease in the total might not just be telling you that the under is the better of the two plays. The Cowboys very well could be the right side as well.
Falcons vs. Jaguars, Sunday 1:00 p.m. ET
Opening NFL Odds: Jacksonville -3.5
Current NFL Odds: Jacksonville -3
This isn't just your standard run of the mill half-point line move. Jacksonville was teetering on -4 at the start of this week in a game it really has to have to stay in the AFC South race with a few weeks to go. The Falcons have been a train wreck, but this might finally be the spot where they're able to get back on track. They've played really well against AFC South teams this year, and this is the last of the bunch. Let's not forget that Atlanta could be eliminated from the playoffs with a loss on Sunday as well, so this will be a de facto playoff game for both teams. That's why this spread is getting tighter for sure, though Jacksonville has earned the right to be favored and considered the better of these two teams for our money.
Cardinals vs. Eagles, Sunday 8:30 p.m. ET
Opening NFL Odds: Arizona -4
Current NFL Odds: Arizona -3
Philadelphia is the sharpest play on the board in Week 15, and that's only going to be magnified by the fact that this is the Sunday Night Football game. Arizona is the better of these two teams for sure, but this is a dangerous spot. The Cards have a heck of a schedule down the stretch, and this is a game easy to look past. The Eagles have been one of the most bipolar teams in the league, beating New England but losing a bevy of other games which clearly should've been won by other prospective playoff teams. Philly has to have this one, and it's at home where it will have a big backing. It's a long road trip for the Cardinals as well, albeit one in a week with extra preparation after playing on Thursday Night Football the week before. Arizona could be in for a shock.
Browns vs. Seahawks, Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET
Opening NFL Odds: Seattle -14
Current NFL Odds: Seattle -16
Don't act surprised. The Seahawks are playing like Super Bowl contenders once again, and they're arguably the hottest and most confident team in the league. They can lock up a playoff spot this week with a win and some help, and they draw a Cleveland team which is only slightly less embarrassing than the 49ers whom it beat last week. There's a legitimate chance that Johnny Manziel makes more bonehead plays than reasonable ones against this Seattle defense, and the public and the sharps are reacting accordingly. The Browns are being handicapped to score just over 14 points in this game, and many suspect they won't get there in a game which will very likely be effectively over by halftime.
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