Half of the games on the Sunday schedule in Week 6 feature teams which are favored on the road. That creates a ton of sharp vs. square situations, some of we can't wait to take a closer look at.
Note: All current NFL odds listed as of Thursday morning. Logon to BookMaker Sportsbook for up-to-the-minute odds.
Broncos vs. Browns, Sunday 1:00 p.m. ET
Opening NFL Odds: Broncos -6
Current NFL Odds: Broncos -4
Hello, sharpness. The Broncos opened up at -6 and have done nothing but creep down as this week has progressed. Sharp bettors have been fading Denver all season long. It hasn't paid off at this point, but here we have another road game against a hungry home team, one which is mildly aggressive on defense and could give Peyton Manning and his weak arm all sorts of problems. Remember that this Denver team has now had two separate games this year in which the offense has produced nothing whatsoever, and the Browns have shown a ton of grit in recent games, most notably last week against Baltimore on the road. This is a dangerous one for sure for Denver, especially knowing that almost three-quarters of the bets in this game have been on the visitors. With all of that line movement going the opposite way of the majority of the bets, you know which side is the one the smart bettors are on.
Texans vs. Jaguars, Sunday 1:00 p.m. ET
Opening NFL Odds: Texans -1
Current NFL Odds: Jaguars -1
It's not like there's all that much of a difference between a team being +1 or -1, but anytime we see a point spread flip around like this, we have to take note of it. The Texans have played musical quarterbacks this year, and they've gone back to Brian Hoyer after he played well in relief of Ryan Mallett last week against Indianapolis. The Jags had some concerns as to whether Blake Bortles would be ready to go in this game or not, but all signs suggest that he'll be in there this week. This game will mean more about NFL Draft positioning than anything else, but bettors should still take note of it with a line move like this.
Patriots vs. Colts, Sunday 8:30 p.m. ET
Opening NFL Odds: Patriots -7
Current NFL Odds: Patriots -10
How can we not talk about the biggest game of the weekend? A game between Tom Brady and Andrew Luck would stand alone as incredibly important, obviously. These two teams are almost sure to be division winners this year, thus setting up a potential playoff matchup down the line. But of course, the real concern is the revenge factor. The Patriots, as you might have heard, were turned into the league for a football with slightly less air in it by these Colts, and with the history these clubs have against each other, it would be easy to see how New England could win this game by 50. However, anytime we see 90 percent of the bets on one side of a game, no matter what type of line movement we see, we're concerned.
Dolphins vs. Titans, Sunday 1:00 p.m. ET
Opening NFL Odds: Over/Under 45.5
Current NFL Odds: Over/Under 43.5
The Dolphins haven't been particularly good on either side of the ball, but after watching the Titans and Bills struggle last week to get into the 20s in total points, let alone in the 40s, it's understandable that the total in this game would come down. The hiring of Dan Campbell as Miami's new coach should make it this club more conservative. He has said all the right things about getting back to the basics of the running game. Lamar Miller could see a lot of work, and that could really kill this game off quickly.
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