Quarterback play generally decides games in the NFL nowadays, and it's not surprising that there are more prop bets available for Peyton Manning and Cam Newton than any other player for Super Bowl 50.
You can find a full slate of Super Bowl prop odds at BookMaker.eu.
Manning is coming off of two pretty darn good football games in a row. His statistics against the Patriots and Steelers won't jump off the page at you, but by the standards that he has now, he's done well, and his receivers haven't done him any favors with a lot of dropped passes and seemingly poorly run routes.
This task against Carolina's secondary isn't quite as daunting as some of the other challenges we've seen Manning have in recent years, especially if he can stay away from Josh Norman's side of the field.
Manning's passing yardage over/under is 240.5, while he's projected to have 21.5 completions.
The Sheriff, of course, hasn't thrown for anywhere near 240 yards in a game since Week 9 against his old team. He threw for 176 yards against New England and 222 against Pittsburgh, completing less than 60 percent of his passes on both accounts.
If you truly believe that Manning tops out at a 60 percent completion percentage, he'll have to put the ball in the air at least 36 times in this game just to reach his completion total. If he does reach that 22 completions mark, he'll still have to average almost 11 yards per completion to get to his totals. Considering the fact that Manning hasn't completed a 40-yard pass since the third quarter of that game against the Colts in Week 9, it's a tough ask on all accounts.
Manning was picked off at least once in each of his first nine games of the year before going down with his plantar injury. He's -220 to throw an INT in this game, though it should be noted that he hasn't been picked off since return from that injury in Week 17.
Newton meanwhile, is going to be facing the daunting task of going against one of the best defenses we've seen in quite some time. The good news is that the safeties for the Broncos aren't the best coverage men in the world, and Newton does his best work over the top to his speedy wide outs and over the middle to his tight end, Greg Olsen. Perhaps Aqib Talib and Chris Harris won't be huge impact players in this game as some suspect they will.
Newton threw for 335 yards against Arizona in the NFC Championship Game, but literally everything went right that day for the Carolina offense.
It's worth remembering that the Panthers have gone 31 consecutive games rushing for at least 100 yards, and though Newton is a much better passer now than he has been at any point in his career, this is still a run-first offense.
That's why it's a little risky to play Newton over 19 completions or over 235.5 passing yards.
In an interesting plot twist though, Newton is actually the favorite to score the first touchdown of the NFL game at +479. Carolina loves using its MVP candidate to run over or around defenders near the end zone, often letting all 10 men around him block on a run straight up the gut against the 11 on the other side of the field in short yardage situations.
Manning has rushed for exactly one touchdown since 2008.
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