It's starting to get real for the New England Patriots and the Atlanta Falcons. They're both on the ground in Houston, and this is when the festivities really kick into full swing and we'll see what both teams are made of. For the Pats, this is old hat. They've been here and done this time and time before, including two years ago when they beat the Seahawks in an epic Super Bowl 49. For most of the Falcons though, this is something entirely new, and the way they react over the course of the next several days with the media might end up swaying the Super Bowl 51 odds a little bit one way or the other.
Super Bowl 51 Current Odds at BookMaker.eu
Falcons ( 58 ) vs. Patriots ( -3 )
Super Bowl 51 Odds Report
Falcons vs. Patriots – Sunday, February 5, 6:30 p.m. ET
The Falcons are already starting to take the mentality that they've got nothing to lose heading into the Super Bowl. Their fans have been behind them from the start of this week, and they were treated to a tremendous sendoff when they department Atlanta for Houston on Sunday.
What remains most interesting about Atlanta is how it got from a team that most believed was nothing more than a flash in the pan to one that all of a sudden is looked upon as just a field goal worse than a team that was an odds-on favorite to win the AFC in the middle of the regular season. Don't forget that the Falcons were en route to the No. 3 seed after winning the NFC South, and they would have had to play in Wild Card weekend and then would have had to go to Seattle for the Divisional Round of the playoffs had the Seahawks not been beaten by the Cardinals late in the season at home. And don't forget as well, that Cowboys would have been favored relatively comfortably against Atlanta had they beaten Green Bay the week prior.
Even more alarming? Had you taken away the factors for home field advantage from every New England game this season, the Patriots would have been at least -2.5 against every other team on its schedule with Tom Brady in the lineup. Essentially, the oddsmakers are saying that Atlanta was a better team than any of Seattle, Pittsburgh, Kansas City, Denver, etc.
Furthermore, the Patriots are almost always the more public play when they're on the field, and squares have rejoiced this year to the tune of a 15-3 ATS mark in 2016 and into the 2017 playoffs. New England is surely the squarer of the two sides in the Super Bowl as well, but we're at a point with the Pats that sharp and square essentially mean nothing, especially when you're at this high of a level of football.
The betting action has basically been split 70/30 in favor of the Patriots, yet this line is hardly moving. The Super Bowl odds crept up a bit from -3 and -110 vig on the favorites to -3 with -120 vig before regulating back to -3 and -115 juice.
In respect to the total, Las Vegas has reported some relatively large bets on the under, and that's what has more or less leveled out the playing field from the standpoint of this number to beat. The total did rise from the start of the week of 57.5 up to 58.5 almost immediately, but since that point, the trends have been steady down to 58. Most oddsmakers are figuring upon this total closing at either 58 or 58.5, knowing that most of the bets that come in over the course of the last 36 hours of betting or so will be of the public variety.
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