The fact of the matter is that the Super Bowl odds rarely change all that much between the Wild Card weekend and the Divisional Round of the playoffs. All of the top teams and favorites were off this week, so none of them could be upset, and this year, all of the chalk held up to essentially keep all of the odds exactly the same on paper. What we're left with now, is the business that has to be taken care of, and we're going to see that play out over the course of one fantastic weekend of football.
Super Bowl 51 Odds at BookMaker.eu
New England Patriots +175
Dallas Cowboys +450
Pittsburgh Steelers +650
Atlanta Falcons +700
Green Bay Packers +700
Kansas City Chiefs +850
Seattle Seahawks +1200
Houston Texans +5000
AFC
All along, the assumption was made in the AFC that the Patriots were set to play against the winner of the Steelers/Chiefs game, and after Wild Card weekend, none of that narrative has changed. The Pats are the biggest favorites we've seen in a postseason game since 1998 ( and that includes when they were double-digit favorites three times in their not-so-perfect 18-1 season ) against the Texans, and the Steelers took care of business against Miami and are now headed to Arrowhead Stadium for one of the most highly anticipated showdowns we've had this season in the AFC.
As a result, not a heck of a lot has changed. The Steelers moved from just behind KC to just in front of it at +650 to win the Super Bowl, as they're very slight 1-point favorites this week and almost certainly have a better shot of winning in Foxboro than the Chiefs would have. New England though, is still the team to beat at +175, a number that was made slightly better due to the fact that Houston was probably the easiest of the three potential matchups it could have had in the first round.
NFC
The NFC remains incredibly intriguing with just four teams left. Each of the four have a great case to be made to go to the Super Bowl and win it when they get there.
Perhaps the most intriguing price is the 12 to 1 on the Seahawks. Sure, they're going to have to play in Atlanta this weekend, a really tough place to go and a place they've seen their season end in the past before. But we know that this team is tough as nails and isn't going to just back down even though they're the decided underdogs in the game. Win this one, and there's a real chance to get to play the NFC Championship Game at home if the Packers upset the Cowboys, and that doesn't seem that far out of the realm of possibility.
One might think that Green Bay, in spite of the fact that it now knows it has to win two road games to reach Houston in February, has a favorable shot to win it all. Instead, we really question the Packers being lined at +700, tied for the fourth choice to win the Super Bowl and only mere cents behind the Steelers.
The Packers are going to be dogs in all likelihood in each of their three final games of the season if that's where this ends up going, starting against a Dallas team that crippled them in Lambeau Field in October. Sure, the Cowboys aren't the same team now that they were then either, and there's surely no defending wagering on Dallas at +450 to win the Super Bowl at this point in relation to some of the other prices out there, but this is still a really tough road to sow.
If you're a believer in the Packers, why not bet on the Falcons at +700 then? Atlanta is favored against Seattle, would definitely have a puncher's chance against Dallas and would get the opportunity to host Green Bay with the best offense in the NFL on its side.
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