Perception changes a lot of things in the NFL betting world, and the perception of the Denver Broncos and Chicago Bears couldn't be much different at the moment. Denver has dropped two in a row, and in that same span, the Bears have gone on the road and picked up two wins as underdogs. Live bettors will have a tough time figuring out what to do this Sunday when these two teams meet in the Midway.
NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu
Denver Broncos PK
Chicago Bears PK
Over/Under 43
ODDS ANALYSIS
The Broncos moved up to -2 on Sunday after opening up at a pick 'em. After the news broke of Peyton Manning being forced to sit this game out, Chicago reopened at -1 and has since gone to -1.5.
The total started the week at 43 and resurfaced at 41 on Tuesday, and we can only see that number dropping from there.
WHEN THE DENVER BRONCOS HAVE THE BALL
We're sorry, Peyton, but it's time for you to go. Manning went just 5-of-20 last week against the Chiefs and got benched in the third quarter of the game.
The ground game for the Broncos has never panned out either, as both Ronnie Hillman and C.J. Anderson have turned out to have awful years.
Chicago's defense isn't great, but the unit figured out how to get after Nick Foles last week, and it did a reasonable job against Philip Rivers the week before.
Remember that the Broncos only have a total of 16 offensive touchdowns in nine games this year, and Brock Osweiler was responsible for two of those last week.
Perhaps when Osweiler comes into the lineup, he can spark the Broncos. If nothing else, he's got better arm strength than Manning has at this point in his career, and he can move around a little bit in the pocket, something that should play well in Gary Kubiak's offensive scheme. Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas haven't forgotten how to play the wide receiver position overnight, and they're both sure to be more comfortable with Osweiler throwing them passes than Manning, particularly against this sometimes suspect Chicago secondary.
WHEN THE CHICAGO BEARS HAVE THE BALL
If there's one man that should know a thing or two about that Denver defense, it's the man who helped assemble the unit. John Fox coached these Broncos last year, and he knows just how dangerous they can be when given the chance to get after the passer.
Fortunately, just as Chicago was able to take advantage of the screen game against the aggressive St. Louis defense, the same might be possible in this one. Even if Jeremy Langford is forced to play again in place of Matt Forte, we have confidence that the running back position is going to be crucial. Charcandrick West had almost 100 receiving yards last week against this Denver secondary, and the Langford/Forte combination might be able to do the same thing.
The Bears might not have the prettiest offense ever, but they've been effective in positions where Denver could be vulnerable, something that NFL live bettors absolutely must keep in mind.
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