The Washington Redskins were the biggest underdogs to win the NFC East this season, but they're one win away from locking up their spot in the playoffs. They're underdogs on Saturday against the Philadelphia Eagles though, in what will feel a lot like a playoff game in the City of Brotherly Love.
NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu
Washington Redskins +3
Philadelphia Eagles -3
Over/Under 48.5
ODDS ANALYSIS
There isn't a lot separating any of these teams in the NFC East, and that shows in this spread. The Eagles are favored by a field goal, the value of home field advantage. That number has held consistent all week long and isn't likely to change a heck of a lot.
What has changed is the total. The number opened at a lofty 48.5, but after these two teams played to just 43 points in Week 4 in D.C., the total has predictably dropped just a bit to 47.5.
WHEN THE WASHINGTON REDSKINS HAVE THE BALL
Kirk Cousins has built a tremendous rapport with Jordan Reed in recent weeks, and he's turned himself into an elite statistical quarterback this year. He's got three games with at least three touchdowns this season, and he's had four straight games with a quarterback rating above 101.
Earlier this year, Reed was relatively quiet, amassing just five catches for 37 yards, but DeSean Jackson didn't play in that one. Last week, D-Jax had six catches for 153 yards and a TD against Buffalo, and you just know he loves to take it to Philadelphia any chance that he gets.
If Cousins has time in the pocket, he's going to find a way to get the ball out to his underrated receivers. The Redskins have quietly played well along the offensive line this season, and outside of Fletcher Cox, we aren't thrilled by any of the defensive linemen the Eagles are bringing to the table.
Live bettors should be using this as a tell. If Cousins can get the ball out, the Redskins are the right side for in-game betting, particularly as underdogs. If not though, we know the Eagles can get going in a hurry on offense, and they'll take advantage of short fields like few other teams in the NFL.
WHEN THE PHILADELPHIA EAGLES HAVE THE BALL
A 40-17 loss to Arizona last week was devastating for the Eagles. They turned the ball over four times and really had nothing going on offense. DeMarco Murray was once again completely forgotten with just two carries and three yards, and it's clear to us that there has to be some semblance of a running game for Philly to have any chance to be successful in live betting.
Sam Bradford can put up some numbers, and he has been able to connect on a few shots down the field in recent weeks, but more often than not, his drives are ending in three and outs if first down results in either an incomplete pass or a run for little or no yardage.
The Redskins aren't good against the run though, allowing 129.8 rushing yards per game. They did a reasonable job against Philly in the first meeting, keeping the running backs down to just a total of 17 carries for 73 yards. Much more than that allowed, and live bettors should be ready to pounce on the Eagles.
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