Do you think this year’s U.S. Open will end with a playoff? Do you think the winning score will be under par? Those are just two of the props on the board for the U.S. Open, which begins on Thursday, June 15 at Erin Hills, just outside of Milwaukee, Wisconsin. If you are looking for value there are some props offering double-digit returns, including Will Anyone Break the U.S. Open 18-Hole Scoring Record of 63? Let’s look at all of the props and a few predictions.
U.S. Open Props
Will there be an Eagle on No. 18 during the Fourth Round?
Yes +110
No -140
No. 18 is a par 5, so the possibility of an eagle is real, as the hole measures 637 yards. Players like Dustin Johnson will be able to reach the green in two, so I think there is value on the Yes at plus money.
Number of Birdies on No. 18 during the Fourth Round
Over 15.5 ( -105 )
Under 15.5 ( -125 )
Most Strokes Recorded on Any Hole ( Not Including Playoff )
Over 9.5 ( -110 )
Under 9.5 ( -120 )
It seems that every year there is at least one player who has a complete meltdown on a single hole. Erin Hills has some very long rough that is going to produce some big scores on certain holes. I will take this one over the total of 9.5.
Lowest 18-Hole Score
Over 66 ( +140 )
Under 66 ( -170 )
Erin Hills is a long course but if the wind is not blowing, it is a course where a good score can be shot. I will go under 66 in this prop.
Highest 18-Hole Score
Over 85.5 ( -145 )
Under 85.5 ( +115 )
Lowest 18-Hole Score in Fourth Round
Over 67.5 ( -120 )
Under 67.5 ( -110 )
Will Anyone Break the U.S. Open 18-Hole Scoring Record of 63?
Yes +1500
No -10000
If the odds were higher I would consider taking the under, as I think a 62 is possible if the weather conditions are good. I just don’t know that we get enough value at +1500.
Will There Be a Hole-in-One?
Yes -140
No +110
Will Amateur Walker Lee Make the Cut?
Yes +550
No -1300
Will Amateur Stewart Hagestad Make the Cut
Yes +350
No -550
Will Steve Stricker Make the Cut?
Yes -160
No +130
How Many Amateurs Will Make the Cut?
Over 2.5 -110
Under 2.5 -120
Will the Winner Come From Behind to Win During the Fourth Round?
Yes -200
No +160
Will there be a Wire-to-Wire Winner?
Yes +700
No -1200
Will there be a Playoff?
Yes +300
No -400
If you look at history, we are overdue for a playoff in the U.S. Open. The longest streak of years without a playoff in the U.S. Open is eight. If we don’t get a playoff this year, it would be nine years without a playoff. I will take the Yes at +300.
What Type of Putter will the Winner be using on the Final Green?
Blade -220
Mallet +170
Age of 2017 U.S. Open Winner
Over 28.5 ( -130 )
Under 28.5 ( +100 )
Nationality of Winner
United States -125
Any Other Country -105
Will Phil Mickelson Play in the U.S. Open?
Yes +900
No -3000
Who Will the Winner Hug First? ( Excluding Caddie )
Wife/Girlfriend +155
Child +220
Parent +600
Wife holding child +300
No hug +900
Winner Headwear
Hat -1600
Visor +750
No Headwear +4500
Final Margin of Victory ( Not Including Playoff )
Tie ( Playoff ) +275
1 stroke +290
2 strokes +280
3 strokes +620
4 strokes +800
5 strokes +1000
6 strokes or More +900
Winning Score
Under Par -716
Even Par +756
+1 to +2 +777
+3 or Higher +830
The Winning Score was my favorite prop when it was first released, as I said in the U.S. Open preview that I thought Under Par was a virtual guarantee. When I wrote that preview, the number was -315 and I said it should be much higher and now it is -716. I still think the winning score will be under par but I can’t lay 7-1.
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