The Vegas Golden Knights are favored at home on Tuesday night on NBCSN, as they host the Los Angeles Kings. The Kings are currently just outside of a playoff spot in the Western Conference, while the Golden Knights have the best record in the West. The Golden Knights have been outstanding at home this season, as they have the best record in the league at 24-5-2. This is the back end of a home-and-home, as the Kings and Golden Knights played in Los Angeles on Monday. Let’s look at the game and NHL picks.
This war on the ice will go down Tuesday, February 27, 2018 at 10:30 p.m. ET at the T-Mobile Center. The game will be televised live on NBCSN.
We'll have NHL odds at BookMaker.eu available for this and every game on the NHL Tuesday schedule.
Odds Analysis
The Kings have actually been better on the road than they have at home. They were just 14-14 at home before Monday night’s game but they are 19-15 on the road. The Kings recently got Jeff Carter back into the lineup, as he played for the first time on Saturday after being on long-term injured reserve. Carter is the top scorer on the Kings, so his return is huge. He definitely has to shake off the rust, but this will be his third game back, but it is a back-to-back and he may have a tough time on Tuesday.
The Kings have gone over 14 times on the road, under 18 times, with two pushes. They are scoring 2.8 goals per game and giving up 2.5 per contest.
The Golden Knights recently completed a seven-game homestand before Monday’s game in L.A. and they went 5-2. The Golden Knights are already the best expansion team in NHL history and they have a real chance to win the Presidents Trophy for the best overall record in the league. Think about that for a minute and you will realize just how incomprehensible it is. This is an expansion team that could win the Stanley Cup. If that happens, it would be one of the greatest sports stories of all-time. Vegas has gone over the total 16 times at home, under 14 times, with one push. They are scoring 3.5 goals per game and giving up 2.7 per contest.
Special Teams
The Kings haven’t been great on the power play at just 17th in the league, but they are 3rd in the league in penalty killing. The Golden Knights are almost the opposite, as they are 5th on the power play, but just 16th in penalty killing.
Key Stat
The Kings and Golden Knights had played twice this season before this home and home began and Vegas won both games. The Golden Knights won 5-2 at home and 3-2 in Los Angeles. The key stat I want to consider in this game is how each team does playing with no rest. The Kings have been okay playing with no rest of late, as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games. They had been a good team to bet under the total in that situation until recently. They had gone under in six of eight, but they have gone over in their last two. The Golden Knights are 5-5 in their last 10 playing with no rest and they have gone over in seven of the ten, including each of the last three.
Free NHL Picks
I am sure not going against Vegas at home, but I am a bit concerned about the back-to-back numbers for the Golden Knights. I think the better option is on the total. Both teams have been going over the total recently playing with no rest, and Vegas continues to score a lot of goals at home. I will take this game on Tuesday night over the total.
NHL Odds: Golden Knights 4, Kings 3
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