It isn't often that you see a two-year old champion go on to be a factor in the Triple Crown, but each and every year, he who wins the Breeders' Cup Juvenile at least starts off as the favorite to win the Kentucky Derby.
1: Conquest Big E (30/1) – Conquest Stables has had a lot of success, and that gave it the ability to post the fee to let this horse run in the Juvenile even though he only has a maiden win under his belt.
2: Riker (15/1) – At 4-for-4, it's tough to not like what Riker has done at this point in his career. He's got an unknown jockey and an unknown trainer though, and the fact that he has never left Canada until now concerns us.
3: Greenpointcrusader (4/1) – The winner of the Champagne Stakes, Greenpointcrusader has to be considered a real threat here if it rains as it did that day at Belmont Park.
4: Unbridled Outlaw (15/1) – This colt was amongst the favorites at the Iroquois Stakes in September. He failed that day, finishing third and hasn't raced since.
5: Cocked and Loaded (12/1) – The fact that Cocked and Loaded won the Iroquois with a 94 Beyer Speed Rating at such a young age tells us that he has some real potential here at the Juvenile.
6: Rated R Superstar (15/1) – We're going to see a lot of colts who ran in the Breeders' Cup Futurity. Rated R Superstar finished third, but we thought he had a much more impressive race than that with the eye test.
7: Brody's Cause (7/2) – Could this be next year's American Pharoah? Similarly, Brody's Cause was blasted in his first race but came back with guns blazing and won both his maiden and the Breeders' Cup Futurity.
8: Tale of S'avall (30/1) – Finishing fifth in the Champagne Stakes was a brutal disappointment for Tale of S'avall. If this race is a failure, expect to see him convert to a sprinter for his three-year old year.
9: Exaggerator (6/1) – Being second best at the Breeders' Cup Futurity was no shame for Exaggerator. He won the Grade 2 Saratoga Special to earn his spot in this field.
10: Ralis (12/1) – The most-raced horse in the field, Ralis has already been out on the track six times in his young career. He's the second-rated colt according to Prime Power but has been severely under-bet.
11: Isotherm (20/1) – We couldn't possibly bet on this horse after he failed so miserably on the dirt in his maiden and won his next two races on the turf. If it rains though, Isotherm definitely comes into play as a longshot.
12: Swipe (15/1) – Keep an eye on Swipe. He only has one win in six tries, but he also has hit the board in all of his races and seems to have a nose for the line.
13: Nyquist (9/2) – Hello, 102 Beyer Speed Rating! Nyquist did this in just the second race of his career at the Best Pal Stakes, winning by 5 1/4 lengths against a clearly outclassed field. We hate the outside post but love the fact that he is undefeated and largely unchallenged with four straight Beyer Speed Ratings of at least 94.
14: Waterloo Bridge (30/1) – It's not often international ponies are taken to the Juvenile, but Waterloo Bridge is going to give it a shot after winning the Norfolk Stakes in Great Britain. If he wins here with Lasix being added to his regiment, Aidan O'Brien might elect to leave him here for preparation for the Triple Crown.
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