Always Dreaming has the look and the feel of a horse who can win the Triple Crown. He was the favorite at the Kentucky Derby, he pulled away from the field with ease while effectively leading wire-to-wire, and now, he has a much weaker field he's going up against in the Preakness Stakes. But weird things happen in the Sport of Kings, and there's always going to be a shot for the good little one to pull off a big time upset of the odds-on favorite.
The Preakness Stakes is one of the premier events of the year on the horse racing calendar and shouldn't be missed by bettors on Saturday, May 20, 2017. Post-time from Churchill Downs is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET, and all of the action can be seen live on NBC.
Preakness Stakes Odds at BookMaker.eu
Always Dreaming +100
Classic Empire +300
Lookin At Lee +900
Gunnevera +1300
Conquest Mo Money +1800
Multiplier +1800
Royal Mo +1800
Cloud Computing +1900
Hence +2000
Senior Investment +2300
Term of Art +2500
The most obvious choice for a longer shot to win the Preakness Stakes is Lookin At Lee. The parallels here between Lookin At Lee and his daddy, Lookin At Lucky are almost insane. Both were disappointing in the Kentucky Derby, both are coming back in the Preakness Stakes, and both are considered amongst the top choices, albeit at relatively long odds, of ending any hope of a Triple Crown. Lookin At Lucky got the job done in 2010. Will Lookin At Lee do it seven years later? The book on Lookin At Lee suggests that the longer a race goes, the better off he's going to be, and if the rest at the head of the field flat out tire, especially Always Dreaming running on just two weeks of rest, that could be an opportunity for Lookin At Lee to really shine down the stretch and steal the second jewel of the Triple Crown.
The most confounding horse at the moment seems to be Gunnevera. He was a 10 to 1 shot at the Kentucky Derby and was odds-on to win the Florida Derby before that over Always Dreaming. Sure, Gunnevera finished seventh at the Run for the Roses, but he didn't get a good run from jockey Javier Castellano. He's going to end up playing a bit of a stalking role, perhaps an early closer as well, and that might end up suiting him well in a race that has a lot of speed and a lot of deep closers. Unlike in the Kentucky Derby, Gunnevera should get himself out of trouble, and if that's the case, we'll get to see whether he really has a shot at the top three-year olds or not. At a price of +1300, it's hard to look the other way.
The really interesting pony is Conquest Mo Money. He's set at +1800 to win the Preakness, but it's hard to say what he's really worth. He's coming from Sunland Park, where he was a dominant horse every step of the way in his career, and when he stepped away to go to the Arkansas Derby with local jockey Jorge Carreno on his back, he finished second to Classic Empire and darn near won the race in spite of the fact that he was running on short rest. Conquest Mo Money has never finished worse than second in his career in any race, and though this is a big step up in class, it isn't his first. He did so at the Arkansas Derby, and on short rest too, and the fact that he's now got more than regular rest against a really good field will present us with the first opportunity in his career to fairly run against the big boys.
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